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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   ACUS02 KWNS 210652   
   SWODY2   
   SPC AC 210651   
      
   Day 2 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1251 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025   
      
   Valid 221200Z - 231200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated thunderstorms are possible from the Southwest into the   
   southern Plains and Southeast on Saturday, though severe   
   thunderstorm potential appears low.   
      
   ...Discussion...   
   Multiple embedded shortwave troughs will exist within the broader   
   trough across the Great Lakes and the East Coast. Shortwave ridging   
   will build across the southern/central Plains ahead of an upper-low   
   across the Southwest which will start to become a more broad/open   
   wave by the end of the period. A cold front will extend from the   
   North Carolina coast through the Southeast. Weak instability is   
   forecast south of this front where low to mid 60s dewpoints are   
   present. However, forcing will be weak amid negligible frontal   
   convergence and neutral height tendencies aloft.   
      
   As a mid-level jet streak emerges across the southern High Plains   
   early Sunday morning, a locally favorable environment for small hail   
   may develop on the leading edge of this jet streak. A strengthening   
   low-level jet and increasing low-level moisture will result in   
   moderate instability across the region. In addition, the   
   strengthening mid-level flow will result in a favorable wind profile   
   for supercells. Small hail appears most likely at this time, but if   
   greater instability develops, isolated large hail is possible early   
   Sunday morning.   
      
   ..Bentley.. 11/21/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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