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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS03 KWNS 191913   
   SWODY3   
   SPC AC 191912   
      
   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0112 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025   
      
   Valid 211200Z - 221200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Scattered thunderstorms are expected from the Texas coast into the   
   Tennessee Valley and central/southern Appalachians on Friday. Severe   
   thunderstorms are not expected.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   A low-amplitude mid-level trough will overspread the TN Valley as an   
   upper-low becomes established over CA on Day 3/Friday. Cooler   
   temperatures aloft associated with the CA low will support a few   
   lightning flashes, mainly offshore. Across the TN Valley, the   
   passage of the low-amplitude mid-level trough will encourage the   
   eastward translation of a weak surface low along the OH River toward   
   the Appalachians through the Friday period. A broad fetch of   
   low-level moisture will advect northward toward the OH River has a   
   cold front slowly approaches from the Ozarks (draped southwestward   
   into eastern TX). The warm sector south of the warm front along the   
   OH River, and ahead of the cold front east of the Ozarks, should be   
   adequately buoyant to support isolated to scattered thunderstorm   
   development through the day Friday into Friday evening.   
      
   Nonetheless, the aforementioned mid-level trough should further   
   de-amplify through Friday, with forcing for ascent expected to   
   weaken as low-level flow heavily veers with time. Furthermore, the   
   mainly unidirectional vertical wind shear will become increasingly   
   displaced from the richer low-level moisture and associated   
   buoyancy, limiting severe potential across the OH Valley and points   
   south/west.   
      
   ..Squitieri.. 11/19/2025   
      
   $$   
      
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