TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 166792.weather@1:2320/105 2d83e8d8   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS03 KWNS 180758   
   SWODY3   
   SPC AC 180758   
      
   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0158 AM CST Tue Nov 18 2025   
      
   Valid 201200Z - 211200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Scattered thunderstorms are possible across the southern Plains on   
   Thursday. Severe thunderstorms potential is uncertain, but appears   
   limited at this time. Isolated thunderstorms may extend into the   
   Ohio and Tennessee Valleys as well, though this activity is not   
   expected to be severe.   
      
   ...Southern Plains...   
      
   An upper trough over AZ and northwest Mexico will pivot   
   east/northeast on Thursday, emerging into the southern Plains. Most   
   guidance shows some deamplification of this feature with   
   time/eastward extent. Regardless, increasing ascent and moderate   
   deep-layer southwesterly flow is expected to overspread TX/OK and   
   the Ozark Plateau.   
      
   Widespread showers/thunderstorms are expected to be ongoing across   
   portions of the southern Plains Thursday morning. This will likely   
   limit destabilization and result in weak low-level lapse rates   
   across much of the warm sector. Some strong storms could be possible   
   as modest surface cyclogenesis occurs and a Pacific front moves east   
   across western/central OK and central into eastern TX by Friday   
   morning. However, with deep-layer flow parallel to the surface   
   boundary, training/heavy precipitation may be more likely than   
   organized severe storms. Given uncertainty in degree of   
   destabilization due to widespread convective contamination of the   
   warm sector, will hold off delineating any low-end severe   
   probabilities as confidence is low regarding where any relatively   
   greater potential may develop.   
      
   ..Leitman.. 11/18/2025   
      
   $$   
      
   = = =   
   To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to   
   https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email   
   Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.   
      
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 19/10 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302 128/187 129/14   
   SEEN-BY: 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50 110 700 218/700 840 220/10 20 30   
   SEEN-BY: 220/70 90 221/1 6 360 226/17 18 30 44 50 227/114 229/110   
   SEEN-BY: 229/206 300 307 317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 267/800   
   SEEN-BY: 291/111 301/1 320/219 322/757 335/364 341/66 342/200 396/45   
   SEEN-BY: 460/58 633/280 712/848 770/1 100 340 350 772/210 220 230   
   SEEN-BY: 902/26 2320/0 105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 218/840 770/1 633/280 229/426