TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 166697.weather@1:2320/105 2d7fe80a   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS03 KWNS 150708   
   SWODY3   
   SPC AC 150707   
      
   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0107 AM CST Sat Nov 15 2025   
      
   Valid 171200Z - 181200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated thunderstorms may occur Monday evening into early Tuesday   
   morning across parts of the Ozarks and Middle Mississippi Valley.   
   Severe thunderstorm potential appears low.   
      
   ...Ozarks/Mid-MS Valley vicinity...   
      
   An upper shortwave trough over the central Rockies vicinity will   
   develop east into the northern Plains on Monday/Monday night. This   
   system will suppress upper ridging over the southern Plains into the   
   Mid/Lower MS Valley vicinity, though moderate westerly flow will   
   overspread OK/KS into the Mid-South. Given a more northerly trend in   
   the track of the upper shortwave trough, large-scale ascent will   
   remain displaced from modest Gulf moisture return across OK/TX   
   toward the Ozark Plateau.   
      
   At the surface, a weak low will progress across OK/KS toward the   
   Ozarks. Warm temperatures in the 850-700 mb layer will preclude   
   surface-based instability. However, cool temperatures aloft will   
   support weak MUCAPE and isolated elevated convection is possible in   
   the vicinity of the Ozarks to the Mid-MS Valley, mainly after 00z.   
   Some forecast soundings suggest small hail could accompany any   
   stronger cells that develop, but concerns over storm coverage and   
   intensity preclude severe probabilities at this time.   
      
   ..Leitman.. 11/15/2025   
      
   $$   
      
   = = =   
   To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to   
   https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email   
   Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.   
      
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/10 37 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302   
   SEEN-BY: 123/130 128/187 129/14 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50   
   SEEN-BY: 154/110 700 201/0 203/0 218/700 840 220/10 20 30 90 221/1   
   SEEN-BY: 221/6 360 226/18 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 206 300 307 317   
   SEEN-BY: 229/400 426 428 470 664 700 705 240/5832 266/512 280/5003   
   SEEN-BY: 291/111 301/1 320/119 219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 335/364   
   SEEN-BY: 341/66 342/200 396/45 423/81 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26   
   SEEN-BY: 2320/0 105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 1 320/219 229/426