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|    POLITICS    |    Political Discussions    |    39,875 messages    |
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|    Message 39,357 of 39,875    |
|    Joseph Pereira to All    |
|    Venezuela's Oil    |
|    12 Jan 26 04:53:53    |
      TZUTC: -0800       MSGID: 154530.politics@1:103/705 2dcc8083       PID: Synchronet 3.21b-Win32 master/26d94517e Jan 12 2026 MSC 1944       TID: SBBSecho 3.34-Linux master/ff1262fdf Jan 11 2026 GCC 12.2.0       COLS: 136       BBSID: VERT       CHRS: ASCII 1       FORMAT: flowed       NOTE: FSEditor.js v1.105              Yes, the attack in Venezuela was about oil. The stated reasoning that it was       about drugs is complete nonsense. But there's more at stake than just oil.              The team behind Trump (the creators of Project 2025) has bigger plans.              Trump is executing them rather clumsily, but they're letting him stumble       because it creates a lot of distraction, and that's not working out badly for       them.              The unnecessary dispute with Canada means that the US is getting, or at least       is in danger of getting, less heavy oil from Canada. American oil refineries       are fully equipped to process heavy oil, such as that from Canada and       Venezuela.              As long as the oil came from Canada, not getting oil from Venezuela wasn't a       problem for the companies.              But the dispute with Canada is making the oil refineries uncertain about the       supply of Canadian oil.              Oil from Venezuela would make them less dependent on Canada.              However... China has contracts under which it would receive 78% of Venezuela's       oil. If those contracts were to remain in place, the US's oil supply would be       too uncertain due to the dispute with Canada. As a global power, you don't       want that, especially if that oil were to go to your biggest competitor. So,       thanks to Trump's clumsy behavior, Venezuelan oil has suddenly become a       priority. That's why Trump's team convinced him that intervention was       necessary because of drugs, and they convinced him that he could easily keep       $3 billion worth of oil personally and transfer it to his personal account       after selling it.              The question now remains: what power does the US currently wield in Venezuela?       Will Venezuela now cancel its contracts with China, or will it ask China for       support to honor the contracts with military force against the US? Does China       have the military power and the will to defend its interests militarily,       literally on the other side of the world, in the US's backyard?              Clearly, that scenario is currently unfeasible for China.              So Venezuela can't expect help from either China or Russia. It's on its own       militarily. But that doesn't mean the US has the final say in Venezuela. The       US is militarily incapable of occupying Venezuela if the population is       massively opposed to that occupation.              Therefore, it must blackmail the country's leaders. The threat of violence is       what the US can do. However, Venezuela could also completely halt oil exports.       That would make the population very poor, but would also force the US to       invade anyway to steal the oil, and that would then trigger a Ukraine or       Vietnam/Afghanistan scenario for the US.              Trump is now drunk with power, but even US military might has its limitations.       Afghanistan recently demonstrated this.              Meanwhile, China is seeing its plan to deprive the US of Venezuela's oil go up       in smoke. The chess game for global hegemony is in full swing. This is already       World War III. What we don't yet know, however, is the distribution of the       players in that war. That is now being determined. Remember that Russia also       switched sides during the Second World War. So everything is still uncertain,       because the battle has yet to truly begin.              Will it be another two-way battle, or will it be a kind of Stratego with       multiple camps, each fighting for their own part of the world?              In any case, World War III has already begun. Get used to it.                      .       --- SBBSecho 3.34-Linux        * Origin: Vertrauen - [vert/cvs/bbs].synchro.net (1:103/705)       SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/37 103/705 105/81 106/201 123/130 124/5016       SEEN-BY: 128/187 129/14 305 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 110 203/0       SEEN-BY: 218/700 221/0 1 6 226/30 227/114 229/110 112 134 206 300       SEEN-BY: 229/307 317 400 426 428 470 700 705 240/1120 5832 263/1 266/512       SEEN-BY: 280/464 5003 5006 291/111 292/854 8125 301/1 310/31 320/119       SEEN-BY: 320/219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 341/66 234 342/200 396/45       SEEN-BY: 423/81 120 460/58 633/280 712/848 770/1 902/26 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 103/705 280/464 221/1 320/219 229/426           |
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