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   IREX      Internet Rex (FTN <=> Internet) Public S      1,458 messages   

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   Message 86 of 1,458   
   Michiel van der Vlist to Sean Dennis   
   W7 + REX v2.29   
   01 Nov 10 22:46:14   
   
   Hello Sean,   
      
   On Monday November 01 2010 12:47, you wrote to me:   
      
    MV>> That may change in a couple of years when the IPv4 address space   
    MV>> has been exhausted and (new?) users will only get IPv6 addresses.   
    MV>> I doubt we wil ever see IPv6 added to Irex...   
      
    SD> How long have we been told we're running out of IPv4 addresses?  A   
    SD> decade now?   
      
   About twenty years. Problem is that the twenty years are almost up. IANA has   
   less than 5% left and is expected to run out in the second quarter of next   
   year.   
      
   http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/index.html   
      
    SD> I've yet to see any real movement on the IPv6 front   
      
   The InterNet crowd is slow to move, so much is true.   
      
    SD> and besides that, there will be backwards compatibility on some fronts   
    SD> with IPv4.   
      
   Only in a very limited way: http://tinyurl.com/2v4wpob   
      
    SD> Personally, I think the IPv6 thing is overblown   
      
   Than you are sticking your head in the sand. It is not rocket science that   
   when you draw at a steady rate from a finite, non renewable pool, that some   
   day it will run out. It is also not rocket science to divide the size of the   
   remaining pool by the burn rate to arrive at the time till exhaustion. Two to   
   three years! FidoNet will live to see the first new user being sold "no" when   
   asking for an IPv4 address.   
      
    SD> just like the Y2K problem was.   
      
   Apples and oranges. With Y2K it was a single unique event and nobody really   
   knew what would happen. It was anybody's guess. Luckily, it turned out that   
   the pessimists were wrong. The IPv4 exhaustion is different. While it is   
   difficult to predict the exact exhaustion date, the counter is running and it   
   is clear that it WILL run out in the very foreseeable future.   
      
   http://inetcore.com/project/ipv4ec/index_en.html   
      
   Cheers, Michiel   
      
   --- GoldED+/W32-MINGW 1.1.5-b20070503   
    * Origin: http://www.vlist.org (2:280/5555)   

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