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|    IREX    |    Internet Rex (FTN <=> Internet) Public S    |    1,458 messages    |
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|    Message 172 of 1,458    |
|    Kevin Klement to Roy Witt    |
|    packet/session    |
|    19 Jan 11 16:02:44    |
      Hi Roy,              Wednesday January 19 2011 15:17, Roy Witt wrote to Kevin Klement:               > That's for sending email message(s) to a group of people on        > a 'mailing list'. I don't think it's in .pkt format, but in        > email format.              Hmmmm.. 1:2320/105.98 is tossing messeges into the WEATHER echo made by REX,        look at the @PID and tear line??              This is a internet mailing list tossed into Fidonet.                     = WEATHER (1:342/77) ==========================================================        Msg : 284 of 300         From : LDM Weather 1:2320/105.98 18 Jan 11 14:01:04        To : All        Subj : LONGRANGE: 6-10 Day Outlook (Automatic)       ===============================================================================       @PID Internet Rex 2.29       @TZUTC: -0500       @To: wx-natnl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU       @MSGID: 1:2320/105.98 4d361117       From: ldm@weather3.admin.niu.edu (LDM Weather)              723        FXUS06 KWBC 182000       PMDMRD       PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR 6 TO 10 AND 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOKS       NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS, MD       300 PM EST TUE JANUARY 18 2011              6-10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JAN 24 - 28 2011              TODAYS MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE 500-HPA HEIGHT        PATTERN OVER THE FORECAST DOMAIN. ALL MODELS PREDICT TROUGHS OVER EASTERN        NORTH AMERICA AND OVER THE BERING SEA WITH RIDGING NEAR THE WEST COAST OF THE        CONUS. MOST MODELS ALSO PREDICT A MEAN POSITIVELY TILTED LONGWAVE TROUGH        EXTENDING TOWARD THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS, HOWEVER THERE ARE LARGE DISAGREEMENTS        AS TO THE DETAILS OF THIS FEATURE. TODAY'S OFFICIAL 500-HPA HEIGHT BLEND        REPRESENTS A FAIRLY EVEN SPLIT BETWEEN THE GFS, CANADIAN, AND ECMWF BASED        SOLUTIONS.               ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED FOR MUCH OF THE NORTHWEST CONUS AND        ALASKA PANHANDLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE RIDGE FORECAST NEAR THE WEST COAST OF        NORTH AMERICA. DOWNSTREAM OF THIS RIDGE, THE TROUGH FORECAST OVER EASTERN        NORTH AMERICA FAVORS BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF THE EASTERN HALF OF        THE NATION. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO FAVORED FOR PARTS OF WESTERN        ALASKA NEAR THE TROUGH FORECAST OVER THE BERING SEA.              MOIST FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH FORECAST OVER THE BERING SEA FAVORS ABOVE MEDIAN              PRECIPITATION FOR THE SOUTH COAST AND PANHANDLE OF ALASKA. ABOVE MEDIAN        PRECIPITATION IS ALSO FAVORED FOR MUCH OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST REGION AND        SOUTHEAST AS SOME MODELS FORECAST SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO TRAVERSE THE SOUTHERN        TIER OF THE CONUS AROUND THE BASE OF THE MEAN LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER EASTERN        NORTH AMERICA. ENHANCED PROBABILITIES OF NEAR OR ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION        ARE ALSO INDICATED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD AHEAD OF THE MEAN TROUGH AXIS.        SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THIS LONGWAVE TROUGH LEADS TO ENHANCED PROBABILITIES OF BELOW              OR NEAR MEDIAN PRECIPITATION FOR THE GREAT LAKES REGION. NEAR TO BELOW MEDIAN        PRECIPITATION IS ALSO FAVORED FOR MUCH OF THE WESTERN CONUS DUE TO THE RIDGE        FORECAST NEAR THE WEST COAST OF NORTH AMERICA.              TODAY'S OFFICIAL 500-HPA BLEND CONSISTS OF 5 PERCENT OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 0Z        GFS CENTERED ON DAY 8...10 PERCENT OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 6Z GFS CENTERED ON        DAY 8...15 PERCENT OF TODAY'S 0Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8...15        PERCENT OF TODAY'S 6Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8...15 PERCENT OF        TODAY'S 0Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8...15 PERCENT OF TODAY'S 0Z        CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8...5 PERCENT OF YESTERDAY'S 12Z        EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 7...AND 20 PERCENT OF YESTERDAY'S 12Z        CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 7.               MODEL OF THE DAY: YESTERDAYS 12Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN               FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD: AVERAGE, 3 ON A SCALE OF 1 TO 5        DUE TO GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT OFFSET BY HIGH UNCERTAINTY IN THE PRECIPITATION        FORECAST ALONG THE EAST COAST.              8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JAN 26 - FEB 01, 2011               MODEL SOLUTIONS FOR THE MEAN 500-HPA HEIGHTS EXPECTED FOR THE 8 TO 14 DAY        PERIOD GENERALLY PREDICT A SLIGHT PROGRESSION OF THE MAIN FEATURES OVER THE        CONUS FROM THAT FORECAST FOR THE 6 TO 10 DAY PERIOD. THE NEGATIVE AO THAT HAS        BEEN PRESENT FOR MUCH OF THE WINTER IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN WHILE THE PNA IS        EXPECTED TO BE POSITIVE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. LONGWAVE TROUGHS ARE FORECAST        FOR EASTERN NORTH AMERICA AND WESTERN ALASKA WITH A RIDGE FORECAST OVER THE        NORTHWESTERN CONUS.               IN GENERAL, THE FORECAST TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION PROBABILITY PATTERNS ARE              CONSISTENT WITH A POSITIVE PNA. THE FORECAST RIDGE OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA        FAVORS ENHANCED PROBABILITIES OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE NORTHWESTERN              CONUS AND EASTERN ALASKA. ENHANCED PROBABILITIES OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES              CONTINUE TO BE INDICATED FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN CONUS IN        ASSOCIATION WITH THE MEAN LONGWAVE TROUGH FORECAST IN THE VICINITY.               BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED FOR MUCH OF THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE        VALLEYS DUE TO SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE EASTERN NORTH AMERICA TROUGH. SHORTWAVE        ENERGY ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF THIS TROUGH FAVORS ABOVE MEDIAN        PRECIPITATION FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. OVER THE        WEST, THE FORECAST LONGWAVE RIDGE FAVORS NEAR TO BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION        WHILE MOIST FLOW AHEAD OF THE UPSTREAM TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA FAVORS ABOVE        MEDIAN PRECIPITATION FOR THE ALASKAN SOUTH COAST AND PANHANDLE.              THE OFFICIAL 8-14 DAY HEIGHT PROG CONSISTS OF: 10 PERCENT OF TODAY'S        OPERATIONAL 0Z GFS CENTERED ON DAY 11...20 PERCENT OF TODAY'S 0Z GFS ENSEMBLE        MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 11...20 PERCENT OF TODAY'S 6Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED        ON DAY 11...15 PERCENT OF TODAY'S 0Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY        11...20 PERCENT OF YESTERDAY'S 12Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY        10...AND 15 PERCENT OF YESTERDAY'S 12Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY        10.              FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD IS: AVERAGE, 3 ON A SCALE OF 1 TO        5.                     FORECASTER: SCOTT HANDEL              NOTES:               AUTOMATED FORECASTS ARE ISSUED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. OTHERWISE -        FORECASTS INCORPORATE FORECASTER INPUT.               THE NOTATION FOR THE CATEGORICAL FORECAST INDICATED ON THE MAPS IS        THE SAME AS THAT IN THE TABLES: A-ABOVE N-NEAR NORMAL B-BELOW               IN THE SOUTHWEST AND OTHER CLIMATOLOGICALLY DRY REGIONS - THERE WILL        BE A GREATER THAN 33.3% CHANCE OF NO PRECIPITATION AND OCCASIONALLY        EVEN A NORMAL (I.E. MEDIAN) VALUE OF ZERO - ESPECIALLY DURING THE DRY        SEASONS. IN SUCH CASES A FORECAST OF NEAR NORMAL IS EFFECTIVELY A        FORECAST OF LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.               THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER USES 1971-2000 BASE PERIOD MEANS FOR        TEMPERATURE...PRECIPITATION...AND 500-HPA HEIGHTS AS REFERENCE IN        THE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS.              THE NEXT SET OF LONG-LEAD MONTHLY AND SEASONAL OUTLOOKS WILL BE RELEASED ON        JANUARY 20              ANALOGS TO THE 5 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 3 DAYS AGO (D-3)       FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE       INCLUDE THE 5 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:        19990104 - 19940108 - 19620106 - 19530128 - 19820112                     ANALOGS TO THE 7 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 4 DAYS AGO (D-4)       FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE       INCLUDE THE 7 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:        19990104 - 19620108 - 19940107 - 19820111 - 19840121                     6-10 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE       OUTLOOK FOR JAN 24 - 28 2011              STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN        WASHINGTON A N OREGON A B NRN CALIF A B        SRN CALIF A B IDAHO A B NEVADA A B        W MONTANA A B E MONTANA A B WYOMING N B        UTAH N B ARIZONA N B COLORADO N B        NEW MEXICO N B N DAKOTA A N S DAKOTA A N        NEBRASKA N B KANSAS N B OKLAHOMA N N        N TEXAS B N S TEXAS B A W TEXAS N N        MINNESOTA N N IOWA N B MISSOURI B B        ARKANSAS B N LOUISIANA B A WISCONSIN N N        ILLINOIS B B MISSISSIPPI B A MICHIGAN B B        INDIANA B B OHIO B B KENTUCKY B B        TENNESSEE B N ALABAMA B N NEW YORK B N        VERMONT B N NEW HAMP B N MAINE B N        MASS B A CONN B N RHODE IS B A        PENN B N NEW JERSEY B N W VIRGINIA B N        MARYLAND B N DELAWARE B N VIRGINIA B N        N CAROLINA B N S CAROLINA B N GEORGIA B A        FL PNHDL B A FL PENIN B A AK N SLOPE B N        AK ALEUTIAN B A AK WESTERN B N AK INT BSN N N        AK S INT N A AK SO COAST A A AK PNHDL A A                             8-14 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE       OUTLOOK FOR JAN 26 - FEB 01, 2011              STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN        WASHINGTON A B OREGON A B NRN CALIF A B        SRN CALIF A B IDAHO A B NEVADA A B        W MONTANA A B E MONTANA A N WYOMING A B        UTAH N B ARIZONA N B COLORADO N N        NEW MEXICO N N N DAKOTA A N S DAKOTA A N        NEBRASKA N N KANSAS N N OKLAHOMA B N        N TEXAS B N S TEXAS B A W TEXAS B N        MINNESOTA A N IOWA N B MISSOURI B B        ARKANSAS B B LOUISIANA B B WISCONSIN N N        ILLINOIS B B MISSISSIPPI B B MICHIGAN N B        INDIANA B B OHIO B B KENTUCKY B B        TENNESSEE B B ALABAMA B B NEW YORK B B        VERMONT B N NEW HAMP B N MAINE N N        MASS B N CONN B N RHODE IS B N        PENN B B NEW JERSEY B N W VIRGINIA B B        MARYLAND B N DELAWARE B N VIRGINIA B B        N CAROLINA B N S CAROLINA B N GEORGIA B B        FL PNHDL B N FL PENIN B A AK N SLOPE N N        AK ALEUTIAN N N AK WESTERN N N AK INT BSN A N        AK S INT A A AK SO COAST A A AK PNHDL A A                LEGEND       TEMPS WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL PCPN WITH RESPECT TO MEDIAN       A - ABOVE N - NEAR NORMAL A - ABOVE N - NEAR MEDIAN       B - BELOW B - BELOW              THE FORECAST CLASSES REPRESENT AVERAGES FOR EACH STATE. NORMAL       VALUES - WHICH MAY VARY WIDELY ACROSS SOME STATES - ARE       AVAILABLE FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.              FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESSAGE FXUS06 KWBC - ON AWIPS AS       PMDMRD.              $$              +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-       To unsubscribe from WX-NATNL send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with       "unsub wx-natnl" in the body of your message. For more information write        cnovy@cox.net.                     -+- Internet Rex 2.29        + Origin: cco.ath.cx - 502/875-8938 (1:2320/105.98)       SEEN+BY: 120/544 123/500 124/311 138/146 140/1 2 14 17 153/7715 221/0 261/38       SEEN+BY: 266/512 275/100 288/34 342/77 382/61 772/1 5020/1042       @PATH: 2320/105 261/38 140/1               Kevin        klement@gypsy-designs.com              --- GED+DPMI 1.1.5-        * Origin: This unit must survive! (1:342/77)    |
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