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   IREX      Internet Rex (FTN <=> Internet) Public S      1,458 messages   

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   Message 172 of 1,458   
   Kevin Klement to Roy Witt   
   packet/session   
   19 Jan 11 16:02:44   
   
   Hi Roy,   
      
   Wednesday January 19 2011 15:17, Roy Witt wrote to Kevin Klement:   
      
    > That's for sending email message(s) to a group of people on   
    > a 'mailing list'. I don't think it's in .pkt format, but in   
    > email format.   
      
   Hmmmm.. 1:2320/105.98 is tossing messeges into the WEATHER echo made by REX,    
   look at the @PID and tear line??   
      
   This is a internet mailing list tossed into Fidonet.   
      
      
   = WEATHER (1:342/77) ==========================================================   
    Msg  : 284 of 300                             
    From : LDM Weather                         1:2320/105.98   18 Jan 11 14:01:04   
    To   : All   
    Subj : LONGRANGE: 6-10 Day Outlook (Automatic)   
   ===============================================================================   
   @PID Internet Rex 2.29   
   @TZUTC: -0500   
   @To: wx-natnl@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU   
   @MSGID: 1:2320/105.98 4d361117   
   From: ldm@weather3.admin.niu.edu (LDM Weather)   
      
   723    
   FXUS06 KWBC 182000   
   PMDMRD   
   PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR 6 TO 10 AND 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOKS   
   NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS, MD   
   300 PM EST TUE JANUARY 18 2011   
      
   6-10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JAN 24 - 28 2011   
      
   TODAYS MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE 500-HPA HEIGHT    
   PATTERN OVER THE FORECAST DOMAIN.  ALL MODELS PREDICT TROUGHS OVER EASTERN    
   NORTH AMERICA AND OVER THE BERING SEA WITH RIDGING NEAR THE WEST COAST OF THE    
   CONUS.  MOST MODELS ALSO PREDICT A MEAN POSITIVELY TILTED LONGWAVE TROUGH    
   EXTENDING TOWARD THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS, HOWEVER THERE ARE LARGE DISAGREEMENTS    
   AS TO THE DETAILS OF THIS FEATURE.  TODAY'S OFFICIAL 500-HPA HEIGHT BLEND    
   REPRESENTS A FAIRLY EVEN SPLIT BETWEEN THE GFS, CANADIAN, AND ECMWF BASED    
   SOLUTIONS.    
      
   ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED FOR MUCH OF THE NORTHWEST CONUS AND    
   ALASKA PANHANDLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE RIDGE FORECAST NEAR THE WEST COAST OF    
   NORTH AMERICA.  DOWNSTREAM OF THIS RIDGE, THE TROUGH FORECAST OVER EASTERN    
   NORTH AMERICA FAVORS BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF THE EASTERN HALF OF    
   THE NATION. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO FAVORED FOR PARTS OF WESTERN    
   ALASKA NEAR THE TROUGH FORECAST OVER THE BERING SEA.   
      
   MOIST FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH FORECAST OVER THE BERING SEA FAVORS ABOVE MEDIAN   
      
   PRECIPITATION FOR THE SOUTH COAST AND PANHANDLE OF ALASKA.  ABOVE MEDIAN    
   PRECIPITATION IS ALSO FAVORED FOR MUCH OF THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST REGION AND    
   SOUTHEAST AS SOME MODELS FORECAST SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO TRAVERSE THE SOUTHERN    
   TIER OF THE CONUS AROUND THE BASE OF THE MEAN LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER EASTERN    
   NORTH AMERICA.  ENHANCED PROBABILITIES OF NEAR OR ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION    
   ARE ALSO INDICATED ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD AHEAD OF THE MEAN TROUGH AXIS.     
   SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THIS LONGWAVE TROUGH LEADS TO ENHANCED PROBABILITIES OF BELOW   
      
   OR NEAR MEDIAN PRECIPITATION FOR THE GREAT LAKES REGION.  NEAR TO BELOW MEDIAN    
   PRECIPITATION IS ALSO FAVORED FOR MUCH OF THE WESTERN CONUS DUE TO THE RIDGE    
   FORECAST NEAR THE WEST COAST OF NORTH AMERICA.   
      
   TODAY'S OFFICIAL 500-HPA BLEND CONSISTS OF 5 PERCENT OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 0Z    
   GFS CENTERED ON DAY 8...10 PERCENT OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 6Z GFS CENTERED ON    
   DAY 8...15 PERCENT OF TODAY'S 0Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8...15    
   PERCENT OF TODAY'S 6Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8...15 PERCENT OF    
   TODAY'S 0Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8...15 PERCENT OF TODAY'S 0Z    
   CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8...5 PERCENT OF YESTERDAY'S 12Z    
   EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 7...AND 20 PERCENT OF YESTERDAY'S 12Z    
   CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 7.    
      
   MODEL OF THE DAY: YESTERDAYS 12Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN    
      
   FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD: AVERAGE, 3 ON A SCALE OF 1 TO 5    
   DUE TO GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT OFFSET BY HIGH UNCERTAINTY IN THE PRECIPITATION    
   FORECAST ALONG THE EAST COAST.   
      
   8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JAN 26 - FEB 01, 2011    
      
   MODEL SOLUTIONS FOR THE MEAN 500-HPA HEIGHTS EXPECTED FOR THE 8 TO 14 DAY    
   PERIOD GENERALLY PREDICT A SLIGHT PROGRESSION OF THE MAIN FEATURES OVER THE    
   CONUS FROM THAT FORECAST FOR THE 6 TO 10 DAY PERIOD.  THE NEGATIVE AO THAT HAS    
   BEEN PRESENT FOR MUCH OF THE WINTER IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN WHILE THE PNA IS    
   EXPECTED TO BE POSITIVE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.  LONGWAVE TROUGHS ARE FORECAST    
   FOR EASTERN NORTH AMERICA AND WESTERN ALASKA WITH A RIDGE FORECAST OVER THE    
   NORTHWESTERN CONUS.      
      
   IN GENERAL, THE FORECAST TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION PROBABILITY PATTERNS ARE   
      
   CONSISTENT WITH A POSITIVE PNA.  THE FORECAST RIDGE OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA    
   FAVORS ENHANCED PROBABILITIES OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE NORTHWESTERN   
      
   CONUS AND EASTERN ALASKA.   ENHANCED PROBABILITIES OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES   
      
   CONTINUE TO BE INDICATED FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN CONUS IN    
   ASSOCIATION WITH THE MEAN LONGWAVE TROUGH FORECAST IN THE VICINITY.     
      
   BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED FOR MUCH OF THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE    
   VALLEYS DUE TO SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE EASTERN NORTH AMERICA TROUGH.  SHORTWAVE    
   ENERGY ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF THIS TROUGH FAVORS ABOVE MEDIAN    
   PRECIPITATION FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.  OVER THE    
   WEST, THE FORECAST LONGWAVE RIDGE FAVORS NEAR TO BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION    
   WHILE MOIST FLOW AHEAD OF THE UPSTREAM TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA FAVORS ABOVE    
   MEDIAN PRECIPITATION FOR THE ALASKAN SOUTH COAST AND PANHANDLE.   
      
   THE OFFICIAL 8-14 DAY HEIGHT PROG CONSISTS OF: 10 PERCENT OF TODAY'S    
   OPERATIONAL 0Z GFS CENTERED ON DAY 11...20 PERCENT OF TODAY'S 0Z GFS ENSEMBLE    
   MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 11...20 PERCENT OF TODAY'S 6Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED    
   ON DAY 11...15 PERCENT OF TODAY'S 0Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY    
   11...20 PERCENT OF YESTERDAY'S 12Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY    
   10...AND 15 PERCENT OF YESTERDAY'S 12Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY    
   10.   
      
   FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD IS: AVERAGE, 3 ON A SCALE OF 1 TO    
   5.   
      
      
   FORECASTER: SCOTT HANDEL   
      
   NOTES:     
      
   AUTOMATED FORECASTS ARE ISSUED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  OTHERWISE -    
   FORECASTS INCORPORATE FORECASTER INPUT.    
      
   THE NOTATION FOR THE CATEGORICAL FORECAST INDICATED ON THE MAPS IS    
   THE SAME AS THAT IN THE TABLES: A-ABOVE   N-NEAR NORMAL   B-BELOW    
      
   IN THE SOUTHWEST AND OTHER CLIMATOLOGICALLY DRY REGIONS - THERE WILL    
   BE A GREATER THAN 33.3% CHANCE OF NO PRECIPITATION AND OCCASIONALLY    
   EVEN A NORMAL (I.E. MEDIAN) VALUE OF ZERO - ESPECIALLY DURING THE DRY    
   SEASONS.  IN SUCH CASES A FORECAST OF NEAR NORMAL IS EFFECTIVELY A    
   FORECAST OF LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION.    
      
   THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER USES 1971-2000 BASE PERIOD MEANS FOR     
   TEMPERATURE...PRECIPITATION...AND 500-HPA HEIGHTS AS REFERENCE IN     
   THE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS.   
      
   THE NEXT SET OF LONG-LEAD MONTHLY AND SEASONAL OUTLOOKS WILL BE RELEASED ON    
   JANUARY 20   
      
   ANALOGS TO THE 5 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 3 DAYS AGO (D-3)   
   FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE   
   INCLUDE THE 5 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:    
   19990104 - 19940108 - 19620106 - 19530128 - 19820112   
      
      
   ANALOGS TO THE 7 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 4 DAYS AGO (D-4)   
   FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE   
   INCLUDE THE 7 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:    
   19990104 - 19620108 - 19940107 - 19820111 - 19840121   
      
      
   6-10 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE   
   OUTLOOK FOR JAN 24 - 28 2011   
      
   STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN      
   WASHINGTON  A    N     OREGON      A    B     NRN CALIF   A    B        
   SRN CALIF   A    B     IDAHO       A    B     NEVADA      A    B        
   W MONTANA   A    B     E MONTANA   A    B     WYOMING     N    B        
   UTAH        N    B     ARIZONA     N    B     COLORADO    N    B        
   NEW MEXICO  N    B     N DAKOTA    A    N     S DAKOTA    A    N        
   NEBRASKA    N    B     KANSAS      N    B     OKLAHOMA    N    N        
   N TEXAS     B    N     S TEXAS     B    A     W TEXAS     N    N        
   MINNESOTA   N    N     IOWA        N    B     MISSOURI    B    B        
   ARKANSAS    B    N     LOUISIANA   B    A     WISCONSIN   N    N        
   ILLINOIS    B    B     MISSISSIPPI B    A     MICHIGAN    B    B        
   INDIANA     B    B     OHIO        B    B     KENTUCKY    B    B        
   TENNESSEE   B    N     ALABAMA     B    N     NEW YORK    B    N        
   VERMONT     B    N     NEW HAMP    B    N     MAINE       B    N        
   MASS        B    A     CONN        B    N     RHODE IS    B    A        
   PENN        B    N     NEW JERSEY  B    N     W VIRGINIA  B    N        
   MARYLAND    B    N     DELAWARE    B    N     VIRGINIA    B    N        
   N CAROLINA  B    N     S CAROLINA  B    N     GEORGIA     B    A        
   FL PNHDL    B    A     FL PENIN    B    A     AK N SLOPE  B    N        
   AK ALEUTIAN B    A     AK WESTERN  B    N     AK INT BSN  N    N        
   AK S INT    N    A     AK SO COAST A    A     AK PNHDL    A    A        
      
      
      
   8-14 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE   
   OUTLOOK FOR JAN 26 - FEB 01, 2011   
      
   STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN   STATE      TEMP PCPN      
   WASHINGTON  A    B     OREGON      A    B     NRN CALIF   A    B        
   SRN CALIF   A    B     IDAHO       A    B     NEVADA      A    B        
   W MONTANA   A    B     E MONTANA   A    N     WYOMING     A    B        
   UTAH        N    B     ARIZONA     N    B     COLORADO    N    N        
   NEW MEXICO  N    N     N DAKOTA    A    N     S DAKOTA    A    N        
   NEBRASKA    N    N     KANSAS      N    N     OKLAHOMA    B    N        
   N TEXAS     B    N     S TEXAS     B    A     W TEXAS     B    N        
   MINNESOTA   A    N     IOWA        N    B     MISSOURI    B    B        
   ARKANSAS    B    B     LOUISIANA   B    B     WISCONSIN   N    N        
   ILLINOIS    B    B     MISSISSIPPI B    B     MICHIGAN    N    B        
   INDIANA     B    B     OHIO        B    B     KENTUCKY    B    B        
   TENNESSEE   B    B     ALABAMA     B    B     NEW YORK    B    B        
   VERMONT     B    N     NEW HAMP    B    N     MAINE       N    N        
   MASS        B    N     CONN        B    N     RHODE IS    B    N        
   PENN        B    B     NEW JERSEY  B    N     W VIRGINIA  B    B        
   MARYLAND    B    N     DELAWARE    B    N     VIRGINIA    B    B        
   N CAROLINA  B    N     S CAROLINA  B    N     GEORGIA     B    B        
   FL PNHDL    B    N     FL PENIN    B    A     AK N SLOPE  N    N        
   AK ALEUTIAN N    N     AK WESTERN  N    N     AK INT BSN  A    N        
   AK S INT    A    A     AK SO COAST A    A     AK PNHDL    A    A        
      
                              LEGEND   
   TEMPS WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL     PCPN WITH RESPECT TO MEDIAN   
   A - ABOVE   N  - NEAR NORMAL     A - ABOVE   N - NEAR MEDIAN   
   B - BELOW                        B - BELOW   
      
   THE FORECAST CLASSES REPRESENT AVERAGES FOR EACH STATE. NORMAL   
   VALUES - WHICH MAY VARY WIDELY ACROSS SOME STATES - ARE   
   AVAILABLE FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.   
      
   FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESSAGE FXUS06 KWBC - ON AWIPS AS   
   PMDMRD.   
      
   $$   
      
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   -+- Internet Rex 2.29   
    + Origin: cco.ath.cx - 502/875-8938 (1:2320/105.98)   
   SEEN+BY: 120/544 123/500 124/311 138/146 140/1 2 14 17 153/7715 221/0 261/38   
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   @PATH: 2320/105 261/38 140/1   
      
           Kevin   
           klement@gypsy-designs.com   
      
   --- GED+DPMI 1.1.5-   
    * Origin:    This unit must survive!    (1:342/77)   

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