MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6695b4cd   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2026 Feb 07 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 07-Feb 09 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 07-Feb 09 2026   
      
                Feb 07       Feb 08       Feb 09   
   00-03UT       4.00         4.67 (G1)    3.33        
   03-06UT       2.67         3.67         2.00        
   06-09UT       1.67         3.33         2.00        
   09-12UT       1.67         3.33         3.00        
   12-15UT       2.33         2.00         3.00        
   15-18UT       2.67         3.33         3.33        
   18-21UT       3.33         3.33         3.67        
   21-00UT       4.00         3.67         3.67        
      
   Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 08 Feb due to the   
   anticipated arrival of the CME associated with the 03 Feb filament   
   eruption, coupled with a new negative polarity CH HSS.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 07-Feb 09 2026   
      
                 Feb 07  Feb 08  Feb 09   
   S1 or greater   25%     25%     25%   
      
   Rationale: There is a chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms on   
   07-09 Feb due to the magnetic complexity and dynamic of the active   
   regions on the visible disk.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 07-Feb 09 2026   
      
                 Feb 07        Feb 08        Feb 09   
   R1-R2           80%           80%           80%   
   R3 or greater   35%           35%           35%   
      
   Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a   
   chance for R3 (Strong) or greater levels on 07-09 Feb due to the   
   magnetic complexity and dynamic of the active regions on the visible   
   disk.   
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110   
   SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 112 134 200 206 300 307 312   
   SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854   
   SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26   
   SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 18/200 229/426