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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 13,312 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   01 Feb 26 00:19:01   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6695ae22   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2026 Feb 01 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 01-Feb 03 2026 is 1.67 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 01-Feb 03 2026   
      
                Feb 01       Feb 02       Feb 03   
   00-03UT       1.67         1.67         1.67        
   03-06UT       1.67         1.33         1.33        
   06-09UT       1.67         1.00         1.00        
   09-12UT       1.33         1.00         1.00        
   12-15UT       1.33         0.67         0.67        
   15-18UT       1.33         1.33         1.33        
   18-21UT       1.33         1.67         1.67        
   21-00UT       1.33         1.67         1.67        
      
   Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No   
   significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 01-Feb 03 2026   
      
                 Feb 01  Feb 02  Feb 03   
   S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 01-Feb 03 2026   
      
                 Feb 01        Feb 02        Feb 03   
   R1-R2           35%           35%           35%   
   R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%   
      
   Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected.  No   
   significant active region flare activity is forecast.   
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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   PATH: 18/200 229/426   
      

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