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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 13,310 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   29 Jan 26 00:19:02   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6695aa5e   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2026 Jan 29 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 29-Jan 31 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 29-Jan 31 2026   
      
                Jan 29       Jan 30       Jan 31   
   00-03UT       5.00 (G1)    2.67         2.67        
   03-06UT       4.67 (G1)    2.67         2.67        
   06-09UT       4.67 (G1)    2.33         2.00        
   09-12UT       4.00         2.33         2.00        
   12-15UT       3.67         2.33         1.67        
   15-18UT       4.00         2.33         1.33        
   18-21UT       3.67         2.00         2.00        
   21-00UT       3.33         2.33         2.33        
      
   Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are expected on 29 Jan due to   
   CH HSS influences.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 29-Jan 31 2026   
      
                 Jan 29  Jan 30  Jan 31   
   S1 or greater    5%      1%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 29-Jan 31 2026   
      
                 Jan 29        Jan 30        Jan 31   
   R1-R2           25%           10%           10%   
   R3 or greater    5%            1%            1%   
      
   Rationale: A decreaseing chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio   
   blackouts exists for the next three days.   
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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   SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 18/200 229/426   
      

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