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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 13,310 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    29 Jan 26 00:19:02    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6695aa5e       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0500       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2026 Jan 29 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale       G1).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 29-Jan 31 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale       G1).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 29-Jan 31 2026               Jan 29 Jan 30 Jan 31       00-03UT 5.00 (G1) 2.67 2.67        03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 2.67        06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.33 2.00        09-12UT 4.00 2.33 2.00        12-15UT 3.67 2.33 1.67        15-18UT 4.00 2.33 1.33        18-21UT 3.67 2.00 2.00        21-00UT 3.33 2.33 2.33               Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are expected on 29 Jan due to       CH HSS influences.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 29-Jan 31 2026               Jan 29 Jan 30 Jan 31       S1 or greater 5% 1% 1%              Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.       No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm       production is forecast.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 29-Jan 31 2026               Jan 29 Jan 30 Jan 31       R1-R2 25% 10% 10%       R3 or greater 5% 1% 1%              Rationale: A decreaseing chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio       blackouts exists for the next three days.                     --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 112 134 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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