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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 13,297 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   26 Jan 26 00:19:02   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6695a720   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2026 Jan 26 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 26-Jan 28 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 26-Jan 28 2026   
      
                Jan 26       Jan 27       Jan 28   
   00-03UT       3.67         2.00         4.00        
   03-06UT       2.67         1.67         4.67 (G1)   
   06-09UT       2.00         2.00         3.33        
   09-12UT       2.00         1.67         3.00        
   12-15UT       1.33         1.67         3.33        
   15-18UT       1.33         2.00         3.67        
   18-21UT       1.00         2.33         4.00        
   21-00UT       1.33         3.33         4.00        
      
   Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely on 28 Jan due to   
   negative polarity CH HSS influences.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 26-Jan 28 2026   
      
                 Jan 26  Jan 27  Jan 28   
   S1 or greater    5%      5%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 26-Jan 28 2026   
      
                 Jan 26        Jan 27        Jan 28   
   R1-R2           45%           40%           35%   
   R3 or greater    5%            5%            1%   
      
   Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts   
   over 26-28 Jan.   
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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   PATH: 18/200 229/426   
      

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