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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 13,297 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    26 Jan 26 00:19:02    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6695a720       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0500       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2026 Jan 26 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA       Scale levels).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 26-Jan 28 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale       G1).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 26-Jan 28 2026               Jan 26 Jan 27 Jan 28       00-03UT 3.67 2.00 4.00        03-06UT 2.67 1.67 4.67 (G1)       06-09UT 2.00 2.00 3.33        09-12UT 2.00 1.67 3.00        12-15UT 1.33 1.67 3.33        15-18UT 1.33 2.00 3.67        18-21UT 1.00 2.33 4.00        21-00UT 1.33 3.33 4.00               Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely on 28 Jan due to       negative polarity CH HSS influences.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 26-Jan 28 2026               Jan 26 Jan 27 Jan 28       S1 or greater 5% 5% 1%              Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.       No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm       production is forecast.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 26-Jan 28 2026               Jan 26 Jan 27 Jan 28       R1-R2 45% 40% 35%       R3 or greater 5% 5% 1%              Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts       over 26-28 Jan.                     --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 112 134 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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