MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6695a296   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2026 Jan 23 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 23-Jan 25 2026 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale   
   G2).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 23-Jan 25 2026   
      
                Jan 23       Jan 24       Jan 25   
   00-03UT       4.67 (G1)    3.00         2.33        
   03-06UT       4.67 (G1)    3.00         2.67        
   06-09UT       5.67 (G2)    2.33         2.33        
   09-12UT       3.33         2.33         1.67        
   12-15UT       3.67         1.67         1.33        
   15-18UT       3.00         1.67         1.33        
   18-21UT       2.33         2.00         2.00        
   21-00UT       2.67         2.33         2.33        
      
   Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are expected on 23   
   Jan due to persistent CH HSS influences.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   above S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 23-Jan 25 2026   
      
                 Jan 23  Jan 24  Jan 25   
   S1 or greater   10%     10%     10%   
      
   Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar   
   radiation storms through 25 Jan.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 23-Jan 25 2026   
      
                 Jan 23        Jan 24        Jan 25   
   R1-R2           60%           60%           60%   
   R3 or greater   15%           15%           15%   
      
   Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a   
   slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, on 23-25 Jan.   
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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