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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 13,272 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    14 Jan 26 00:19:02    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66959930       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0500       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2026 Jan 14 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA       Scale levels).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA       Scale levels).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 14-Jan 16 2026               Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16       00-03UT 3.67 2.33 1.67       03-06UT 3.00 3.00 1.33       06-09UT 3.00 2.00 1.33       09-12UT 2.67 2.00 1.33       12-15UT 2.00 1.67 1.33       15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.33       18-21UT 2.00 2.00 1.67       21-00UT 2.00 2.33 1.67              Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026               Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16       S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%              Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.                     C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026               Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16       R1-R2 25% 25% 25%       R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%              Rationale: There is a chance (25%) R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio       blackouts on 14-16 Jan.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 112 134 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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