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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 13,272 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   14 Jan 26 00:19:02   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66959930   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2026 Jan 14 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 14-Jan 16 2026   
      
                Jan 14       Jan 15       Jan 16   
   00-03UT       3.67         2.33         1.67   
   03-06UT       3.00         3.00         1.33   
   06-09UT       3.00         2.00         1.33   
   09-12UT       2.67         2.00         1.33   
   12-15UT       2.00         1.67         1.33   
   15-18UT       2.33         2.00         1.33   
   18-21UT       2.00         2.00         1.67   
   21-00UT       2.00         2.33         1.67   
      
   Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026   
      
                 Jan 14  Jan 15  Jan 16   
   S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
      
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026   
      
                 Jan 14        Jan 15        Jan 16   
   R1-R2           25%           25%           25%   
   R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%   
      
   Rationale: There is a chance (25%) R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio   
   blackouts on 14-16 Jan.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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   PATH: 18/200 229/426   
      

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