MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6695966e   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2026 Jan 11 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale   
   G2).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 11-Jan 13 2026 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale   
   G2).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 11-Jan 13 2026   
      
                Jan 11       Jan 12       Jan 13   
   00-03UT       5.33 (G1)    3.67         3.00   
   03-06UT       5.67 (G2)    3.00         3.67   
   06-09UT       5.00 (G1)    3.00         3.33   
   09-12UT       4.33         3.00         3.00   
   12-15UT       3.00         3.00         2.00   
   15-18UT       3.00         3.67         2.00   
   18-21UT       3.33         3.33         3.33   
   21-00UT       3.67         3.33         3.33   
      
   Rationale: G1 (Minor) and G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storms are likely   
   over 11 Jan due to influence of CMEs that departed the Sun on 08 Jan   
   combined with an anticipated CH HSS.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 11-Jan 13 2026   
      
                 Jan 11  Jan 12  Jan 13   
   S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 11-Jan 13 2026   
      
                 Jan 11        Jan 12        Jan 13   
   R1-R2           15%           15%           15%   
   R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%   
      
   Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio   
   blackouts over 11-13 Jan due primarily to the flare potential of Region   
   4336.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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