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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 13,248 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   08 Jan 26 00:19:02   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66959351   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2026 Jan 08 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 08-Jan 10 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 08-Jan 10 2026   
      
                Jan 08       Jan 09       Jan 10   
   00-03UT       3.67         2.00         3.67   
   03-06UT       2.67         3.33         4.00   
   06-09UT       2.33         5.00 (G1)    3.33   
   09-12UT       2.33         4.67 (G1)    3.00   
   12-15UT       2.33         4.00         2.33   
   15-18UT       2.67         3.00         2.00   
   18-21UT       2.33         3.00         2.33   
   21-00UT       3.00         3.67         2.67   
      
   Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are anticipated on   
   09 Jan due to a coronal high speed stream interacting with a potential   
   glancing blow from a CME that left the Sun on 06 Jan.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 08-Jan 10 2026   
      
                 Jan 08  Jan 09  Jan 10   
   S1 or greater   10%     10%     10%   
      
   Rationale: There is a slight chance for a S1 (Minor) or greater solar   
   radiation storm 08-10 Jan.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 08-Jan 10 2026   
      
                 Jan 08        Jan 09        Jan 10   
   R1-R2           45%           45%           45%   
   R3 or greater   10%           10%           10%   
      
   Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,   
   with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, on 08-10 Jan.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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