MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66958e9a   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2026 Jan 02 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 02-Jan 04 2026 is 6.00 (NOAA Scale   
   G2).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 02-Jan 04 2026   
      
                Jan 02       Jan 03       Jan 04   
   00-03UT       3.67         5.00 (G1)    3.67   
   03-06UT       3.00         6.00 (G2)    3.33   
   06-09UT       2.67         6.00 (G2)    2.00   
   09-12UT       2.67         4.67 (G1)    3.00   
   12-15UT       2.33         4.00         3.00   
   15-18UT       2.00         3.00         2.00   
   18-21UT       2.33         3.00         3.33   
   21-00UT       4.67 (G1)    4.33         3.33   
      
   Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are likely over   
   02-03 Jan due to anticipated influence from multiple CMEs that left the   
   Sun over 28-30 Dec.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 02-Jan 04 2026   
      
                 Jan 02  Jan 03  Jan 04   
   S1 or greater   20%     10%     10%   
      
   Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar   
   radiation storms over 02-04 Jan due to multiple complex regions on the   
   solar disk.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 02-Jan 04 2026   
      
                 Jan 02        Jan 03        Jan 04   
   R1-R2           55%           55%           55%   
   R3 or greater   20%           20%           20%   
      
   Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely over 02-04,   
   with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), primarily due to flare potential   
   from Regions 4325 and 4324.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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