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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 13,219 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   19 Dec 25 00:19:02   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 669556bc   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
      :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 19 0030 UTC # Prepared by the   
      U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA   
      Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr   
      Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest   
      expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 is 3.00 (below NOAA Scale levels).   
      NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 00-03UT   
      3.00 2.67 1.67 03-06UT 3.00 2.67 1.33 06-09UT 2.67 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 2.00   
      1.67 1.33 12-15UT 1.67 1.67 1.67 15-18UT 1.33 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 1.33 2.00   
      1.67 21-00UT 2.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater   
      geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent   
      solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity   
      Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over   
      the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar   
      Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 S1 or   
      greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation   
      storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for   
      radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity   
      and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 R1-R2   
      15% 15% 15% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a slight chance for   
      R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 20 Dec.   
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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   PATH: 18/200 229/426   
      

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