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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 13,219 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    19 Dec 25 00:19:02    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 669556bc       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0500       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)        :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 19 0030 UTC # Prepared by the        U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA        Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr        Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest        expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 is 3.00 (below NOAA Scale levels).        NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 00-03UT        3.00 2.67 1.67 03-06UT 3.00 2.67 1.33 06-09UT 2.67 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 2.00        1.67 1.33 12-15UT 1.67 1.67 1.67 15-18UT 1.33 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 1.33 2.00        1.67 21-00UT 2.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater        geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent        solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity        Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over        the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar        Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 S1 or        greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation        storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for        radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity        and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.        Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 R1-R2        15% 15% 15% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a slight chance for        R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 20 Dec.                     --- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 112 134 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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