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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 13,218 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    16 Dec 25 00:19:01    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66953d77       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0500       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)        :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 16 0030 UTC # Prepared by the        U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA        Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr        Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest        expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp        index breakdown Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 00-03UT 1.67 1.67        5.00 (G1) 03-06UT 3.00 2.00 4.67 (G1) 06-09UT 2.67 2.00 4.00 09-12UT 2.00        2.00 3.67 12-15UT 2.00 3.00 3.00 15-18UT 1.33 3.33 3.00 18-21UT 0.67 4.00        2.67 21-00UT 1.67 4.33 3.33 Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic        storms are expected on Dec 18 due to the passage of a coronal hole high        speed stream. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast        Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was        below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for        Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale:        No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. C. NOAA        Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over        the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 Dec 16        Dec 17 Dec 18 R1-R2 20% 20% 20% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No R1        (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active        region flare activity is forecast.                     --- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 112 134 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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