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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 13,218 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   16 Dec 25 00:19:01   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66953d77   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
      :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 16 0030 UTC # Prepared by the   
      U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA   
      Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr   
      Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest   
      expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp   
      index breakdown Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 00-03UT 1.67 1.67   
      5.00 (G1) 03-06UT 3.00 2.00 4.67 (G1) 06-09UT 2.67 2.00 4.00 09-12UT 2.00   
      2.00 3.67 12-15UT 2.00 3.00 3.00 15-18UT 1.33 3.33 3.00 18-21UT 0.67 4.00   
      2.67 21-00UT 1.67 4.33 3.33 Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic   
      storms are expected on Dec 18 due to the passage of a coronal hole high   
      speed stream. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
      below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for   
      Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale:   
      No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. C. NOAA   
      Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over   
      the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 Dec 16   
      Dec 17 Dec 18 R1-R2 20% 20% 20% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No R1   
      (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active   
      region flare activity is forecast.   
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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