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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 13,208 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   10 Dec 25 00:19:01   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66950ab6   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
      :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 10 0030 UTC # Prepared by the   
      U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA   
      Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr   
      Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest   
      expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 10-Dec 12 2025 is 3.33 (below NOAA Scale levels).   
      NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 10-Dec 12 2025 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 00-03UT   
      2.00 1.00 3.33 03-06UT 2.00 2.00 2.00 06-09UT 3.00 2.33 2.00 09-12UT 2.00   
      2.33 3.00 12-15UT 2.00 2.33 2.67 15-18UT 2.00 2.33 3.00 18-21UT 3.00 2.33   
      3.33 21-00UT 1.33 2.67 3.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater   
      geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent   
      solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity   
      Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over   
      the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar   
      Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 10-Dec 12 2025 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 S1 or   
      greater 15% 10% 5% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or   
      greater solar radiation storms on 10-11 Dec. C. NOAA Radio Blackout   
      Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed   
      over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Dec 09 2025 0058 UTC. Radio   
      Blackout Forecast for Dec 10-Dec 12 2025 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 R1-R2 65%   
      65% 65% R3 or greater 15% 15% 10% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio   
      blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater   
      events on 10-12 Dec.   
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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   PATH: 18/200 229/426   
      

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