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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 13,200 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   07 Dec 25 00:19:03   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6694f1e4   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
      :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 07 0030 UTC # Prepared by the   
      U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA   
      Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr   
      Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest   
      expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 07-Dec 09 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp   
      index breakdown Dec 07-Dec 09 2025 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09 00-03UT 2.67 3.00   
      1.67 03-06UT 2.00 5.00 (G1) 1.67 06-09UT 2.33 3.00 1.67 09-12UT 2.33 3.00   
      1.33 12-15UT 2.33 3.67 1.33 15-18UT 3.67 2.67 1.33 18-21UT 5.00 (G1) 2.00   
      1.33 21-00UT 4.00 2.00 1.33 Rationale: Isolated periods of G1 (Minor)   
      geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Dec due to the anticipated   
      glancing arrival of a CME from 04 Dec. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity   
      Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over   
      the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar   
      Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 07-Dec 09 2025 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09 S1 or   
      greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor)   
      solar radiation storm conditions on 07-09 Dec. C. NOAA Radio Blackout   
      Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed   
      over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Dec 06 2025 2039 UTC. Radio   
      Blackout Forecast for Dec 07-Dec 09 2025 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09 R1-R2 65%   
      65% 65% R3 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio   
      blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater   
      events, on 07-09 Dec.   
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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