MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6694bdab   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Dec 01 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 01-Dec 03 2025 is 3.67 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 01-Dec 03 2025   
      
                Dec 01       Dec 02       Dec 03   
   00-03UT       3.00         1.33         3.00   
   03-06UT       2.33         1.33         3.67   
   06-09UT       3.00         1.67         3.00   
   09-12UT       2.00         1.33         3.00   
   12-15UT       1.67         1.33         2.00   
   15-18UT       1.00         1.33         2.67   
   18-21UT       1.00         1.67         3.00   
   21-00UT       1.67         1.67         3.00   
      
   Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No   
   significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 01-Dec 03 2025   
      
                 Dec 01  Dec 02  Dec 03   
   S1 or greater   10%     10%     10%   
      
   Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton   
   flux to reach S1 (Minor) levels through 03 Dec, due primarily to the   
   eruptive potential of Region 4294.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 01-Dec 03 2025   
      
                 Dec 01        Dec 02        Dec 03   
   R1-R2           70%           70%           70%   
   R3 or greater   20%           20%           20%   
      
   Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a   
   slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, on 01-03 Dec.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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