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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 13,157 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    10 Nov 25 00:19:02    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66940aa7       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0500       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2025 Nov 10 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA       Scale levels).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 10-Nov 12 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale       G2).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 10-Nov 12 2025               Nov 10 Nov 11 Nov 12       00-03UT 2.67 2.67 5.67 (G2)       03-06UT 3.00 3.00 4.67 (G1)       06-09UT 3.67 2.67 4.00       09-12UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 3.67       12-15UT 3.67 4.67 (G1) 2.67       15-18UT 2.67 5.00 (G1) 2.67       18-21UT 1.67 5.67 (G2) 1.67       21-00UT 2.67 5.67 (G2) 2.67              Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely over 10 Nov due to       potential influence from a CME that left the Sun on 07 Nov. G2       (Moderate) conditions are possible on 11-12 Nov due to anticipated       influence from a CME that left the Sun on 09 Nov.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 10-Nov 12 2025               Nov 10 Nov 11 Nov 12       S1 or greater 25% 25% 25%              Rationale: There is a chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation       storms over 10-12 Nov due to multiple complex regions the visible solar       disk.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24       hours. The largest was at Nov 09 2025 0735 UTC.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 10-Nov 12 2025               Nov 10 Nov 11 Nov 12       R1-R2 70% 70% 70%       R3 or greater 25% 25% 25%              Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a       chance for R3 (Strong), over 10-12 Nov due to multiple complex active       regions.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 112 200 206 300 307 312 317       SEEN-BY: 229/400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854 320/219       SEEN-BY: 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26 5020/400       SEEN-BY: 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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