MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6693f183   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Nov 07 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 7 (NOAA Scale   
   G3).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 07-Nov 09 2025 is 7.33 (NOAA Scale   
   G3).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 07-Nov 09 2025   
      
                Nov 07       Nov 08       Nov 09   
   00-03UT       7.33 (G3)    4.67 (G1)    3.67   
   03-06UT       6.00 (G2)    4.67 (G1)    3.67   
   06-09UT       5.00 (G1)    4.00         3.00   
   09-12UT       7.33 (G3)    3.67         3.00   
   12-15UT       6.33 (G2)    3.33         3.00   
   15-18UT       4.67 (G1)    4.00         3.00   
   18-21UT       3.67         5.67 (G2)    3.33   
   21-00UT       3.33         4.33         3.33   
      
   Rationale: G1-G3 (Minor-Strong) geomagnetic storms are likely on 07 Nov,   
   and G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) on 08 Nov, due to the effects of a coronal   
   hole combined with multiple CMEs.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 07-Nov 09 2025   
      
                 Nov 07  Nov 08  Nov 09   
   S1 or greater   20%     20%     20%   
      
   Rationale: There exists a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar   
   radiation storms over 07-09 Nov due primarily to the eruptive potential   
   of Region 4274.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24   
   hours. The largest was at Nov 06 2025 0431 UTC.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 07-Nov 09 2025   
      
                 Nov 07        Nov 08        Nov 09   
   R1-R2           80%           80%           80%   
   R3 or greater   35%           35%           35%   
      
   Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a   
   chance for R3 (Strong), due primarily to the flare potential of Region   
   4274.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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