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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 13,084 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    29 Oct 25 00:19:01    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6693a855       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0400       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2025 Oct 29 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA       Scale levels).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 29-Oct 31 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale       G1).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 29-Oct 31 2025               Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31       00-03UT 4.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67       03-06UT 5.00 (G1) 4.00 3.67       06-09UT 4.33 4.00 3.33       09-12UT 3.67 3.67 3.00       12-15UT 3.00 3.67 3.00       15-18UT 4.00 4.00 3.33       18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.33 3.00       21-00UT 4.00 3.33 3.00              Rationale: G1 (Minor) conditions, with a chance for G2 (Moderate)       levels, are likely on 29-30 Oct due to the anticipated onset of a CH       HSS.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 29-Oct 31 2025               Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31       S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%              Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.       No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm       production is forecast.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 29-Oct 31 2025               Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31       R1-R2 5% 5% 5%       R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%              Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No       significant active region flare activity is forecast.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 200 206 300 307 312 317       SEEN-BY: 229/400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854 320/219       SEEN-BY: 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26 5020/400       SEEN-BY: 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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