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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 12,927 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    11 Jul 25 00:19:01    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66935cf8       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0400       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2025 Jul 11 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA       Scale levels).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 11-Jul 13 2025 is 2.67 (below NOAA       Scale levels).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 11-Jul 13 2025               Jul 11 Jul 12 Jul 13       00-03UT 1.67 2.33 2.33       03-06UT 1.67 2.00 2.00       06-09UT 1.33 2.33 2.33       09-12UT 1.33 2.67 2.00       12-15UT 1.33 2.33 2.00       15-18UT 1.33 2.67 2.00       18-21UT 1.67 2.33 2.00       21-00UT 1.33 2.33 2.00              Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No       significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 11-Jul 13 2025               Jul 11 Jul 12 Jul 13       S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%              Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.       No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm       production is forecast.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 11-Jul 13 2025               Jul 11 Jul 12 Jul 13       R1-R2 35% 35% 35%       R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%              Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for       M-class flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) on 11-13 Jul, primarily due to the       flare potential of Region 4136.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 200 206 300 307 312 317       SEEN-BY: 229/400 426 428 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854 320/219       SEEN-BY: 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26 5020/400       SEEN-BY: 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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