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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 12,926 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    08 Jul 25 00:19:01    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66934547       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0400       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2025 Jul 08 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale       G1).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 08-Jul 10 2025 is 3.67 (below NOAA       Scale levels).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 08-Jul 10 2025               Jul 08 Jul 09 Jul 10       00-03UT 3.67 1.67 1.67       03-06UT 3.67 1.33 1.33       06-09UT 2.67 1.33 1.33       09-12UT 3.00 1.33 1.33       12-15UT 2.67 1.33 1.67       15-18UT 2.67 1.33 1.33       18-21UT 1.67 1.67 1.67       21-00UT 1.67 1.67 1.33              Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No       significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 08-Jul 10 2025               Jul 08 Jul 09 Jul 10       S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%              Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.       No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm       production is forecast.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 08-Jul 10 2025               Jul 08 Jul 09 Jul 10       R1-R2 10% 10% 10%       R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%              Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1 (Minor) or greater radio       blackouts all three days.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 200 206 300 307 312 317       SEEN-BY: 229/400 426 428 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854 320/219       SEEN-BY: 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26 5020/400       SEEN-BY: 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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