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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 12,922 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   05 Jul 25 00:19:01   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66932d78   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Jul 05 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 05-Jul 07 2025 is 3.00 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 05-Jul 07 2025   
      
                Jul 05       Jul 06       Jul 07   
   00-03UT       3.00         2.33         3.00   
   03-06UT       2.67         2.67         3.00   
   06-09UT       2.33         2.67         2.00   
   09-12UT       2.00         2.00         2.00   
   12-15UT       2.33         2.00         2.00   
   15-18UT       2.33         1.00         1.00   
   18-21UT       2.33         2.00         0.67   
   21-00UT       2.67         2.33         1.67   
      
   Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No   
   significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 05-Jul 07 2025   
      
                 Jul 05  Jul 06  Jul 07   
   S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 05-Jul 07 2025   
      
                 Jul 05        Jul 06        Jul 07   
   R1-R2           10%           10%           10%   
   R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%   
      
   Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio   
   blackouts over 05-07 Jul.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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   SEEN-BY: 5075/35   
   PATH: 18/200 229/426   
      

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