MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 669314e0   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Jul 02 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 02-Jul 04 2025 is 5.33 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 02-Jul 04 2025   
      
                Jul 02       Jul 03       Jul 04   
   00-03UT       4.33         4.67 (G1)    2.67   
   03-06UT       5.33 (G1)    4.33         4.00   
   06-09UT       5.00 (G1)    3.33         3.00   
   09-12UT       4.00         2.67         2.67   
   12-15UT       3.00         2.33         1.67   
   15-18UT       3.00         2.67         1.67   
   18-21UT       3.67         3.00         2.00   
   21-00UT       4.67 (G1)    3.67         2.67   
      
   Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are likely on 02-03 Jul   
   due to the arrival of the 28 Jun CME.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 02-Jul 04 2025   
      
                 Jul 02  Jul 03  Jul 04   
   S1 or greater    5%      1%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 02-Jul 04 2025   
      
                 Jul 02        Jul 03        Jul 04   
   R1-R2           20%           15%           15%   
   R3 or greater    5%            1%            1%   
      
   Rationale: A slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts   
   due to isolated M-class flare activity will persist through 04 July.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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