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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 12,906 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    26 Jun 25 00:19:02    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6692e3d2       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0400       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2025 Jun 26 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA       Scale levels).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 26-Jun 28 2025 is 5.33 (NOAA Scale       G1).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 26-Jun 28 2025               Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28       00-03UT 5.33 (G1) 4.00 3.67       03-06UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.33       06-09UT 4.00 4.00 3.00       09-12UT 3.67 3.33 2.67       12-15UT 3.00 2.33 2.33       15-18UT 3.00 2.33 2.33       18-21UT 4.00 2.67 2.67       21-00UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 2.67              Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely, with a chance for       an insolated G2 (Moderate) storming period, on 26-27 June due to       negative polarity CH HSS effects.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 26-Jun 28 2025               Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28       S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%              Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.       No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm       production is forecast.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 26-Jun 28 2025               Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28       R1-R2 30% 35% 35%       R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%              Rationale: A chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a       slight chance for X-class flares (R3-Strong), will persist through 28       June.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 114 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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