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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 12,905 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    23 Jun 25 00:19:02    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6692cbfa       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0400       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2025 Jun 23 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA       Scale levels).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 23-Jun 25 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale       G1).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 23-Jun 25 2025               Jun 23 Jun 24 Jun 25       00-03UT 2.67 3.00 4.67 (G1)       03-06UT 2.00 3.67 4.67 (G1)       06-09UT 2.00 2.00 4.00       09-12UT 2.67 2.67 4.00       12-15UT 3.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)       15-18UT 2.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)       18-21UT 2.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)       21-00UT 3.00 2.00 4.00              Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 25 Jun       due to the onset of negative polarity CH HSS influences.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 23-Jun 25 2025               Jun 23 Jun 24 Jun 25       S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%              Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation       storms over 23-25 Jun due to eruptive potential from multiple regions on       the visible disk.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 23-Jun 25 2025               Jun 23 Jun 24 Jun 25       R1-R2 45% 45% 45%       R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%              Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,       and a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, over 23-25 Jun.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 114 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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