MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6692b326   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Jun 20 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 20-Jun 22 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 20-Jun 22 2025   
      
                Jun 20       Jun 21       Jun 22   
   00-03UT       2.33         2.67         1.67   
   03-06UT       4.33         2.00         1.33   
   06-09UT       5.00 (G1)    2.33         1.33   
   09-12UT       4.33         2.33         1.33   
   12-15UT       3.33         2.33         1.67   
   15-18UT       3.33         2.33         1.33   
   18-21UT       2.33         2.33         1.67   
   21-00UT       3.67         2.67         1.33   
      
   Rationale: An isolated period of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are   
   likely on 20 Jun due to positive polarity CH HSS influences and possible   
   influences from a CME that left the Sun on 17 Jun.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 20-Jun 22 2025   
      
                 Jun 20  Jun 21  Jun 22   
   S1 or greater   10%     10%     10%   
      
   Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation   
   storms over 20-22 Jun.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24   
   hours. The largest was at Jun 19 2025 2350 UTC.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 20-Jun 22 2025   
      
                 Jun 20        Jun 21        Jun 22   
   R1-R2           65%           65%           65%   
   R3 or greater   15%           15%           15%   
      
   Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a   
   slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, over 20-22 Jun.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110   
   SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 114 200 206 300 307 312   
   SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854   
   SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26   
   SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 18/200 229/426