MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66928394   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Jun 14 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale   
   G2).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 14-Jun 16 2025 is 6.00 (NOAA Scale   
   G2).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 14-Jun 16 2025   
      
                Jun 14       Jun 15       Jun 16   
   00-03UT       4.67 (G1)    5.00 (G1)    4.67 (G1)   
   03-06UT       5.33 (G1)    4.33         4.00   
   06-09UT       5.67 (G2)    3.67         3.33   
   09-12UT       4.33         3.33         3.00   
   12-15UT       3.33         2.67         3.00   
   15-18UT       4.67 (G1)    3.00         2.33   
   18-21UT       5.00 (G1)    3.00         2.33   
   21-00UT       6.00 (G2)    4.00         3.00   
      
   Rationale: Periods of G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are   
   expected on 14 Jun due to CME and CH HSS influences. Periods of G1   
   (Minor) storming are likely on 15-16 Jun due to CH HSS influences.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 14-Jun 16 2025   
      
                 Jun 14  Jun 15  Jun 16   
   S1 or greater    5%      5%      5%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24   
   hours. The largest was at Jun 13 2025 2110 UTC.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 14-Jun 16 2025   
      
                 Jun 14        Jun 15        Jun 16   
   R1-R2           40%           40%           40%   
   R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%   
      
   Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts   
   over 14-16 Jun.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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