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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 12,888 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   11 Jun 25 00:19:02   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66926b45   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Jun 11 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 11-Jun 13 2025   
      
                Jun 11       Jun 12       Jun 13   
   00-03UT       2.33         2.33         3.67   
   03-06UT       3.00         2.67         3.33   
   06-09UT       2.67         1.67         3.33   
   09-12UT       2.33         2.00         2.67   
   12-15UT       1.33         2.00         2.67   
   15-18UT       1.00         2.00         2.67   
   18-21UT       3.33         2.00         3.00   
   21-00UT       4.00         2.67         2.33   
      
   Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No   
   significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025   
      
                 Jun 11  Jun 12  Jun 13   
   S1 or greater    5%      5%      5%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025   
      
                 Jun 11        Jun 12        Jun 13   
   R1-R2           35%           35%           35%   
   R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%   
      
   Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts   
   all three days.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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   SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 18/200 229/426   
      

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