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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 12,879 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   02 Jun 25 00:19:01   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66922300   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Jun 02 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 8 (NOAA Scale   
   G4).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025 is 7.67 (NOAA Scale   
   G4).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 02-Jun 04 2025   
      
                Jun 02       Jun 03       Jun 04   
   00-03UT       7.00 (G3)    4.33         4.00   
   03-06UT       7.67 (G4)    5.00 (G1)    4.00   
   06-09UT       6.67 (G3)    4.67 (G1)    3.33   
   09-12UT       6.33 (G2)    4.67 (G1)    3.00   
   12-15UT       5.00 (G1)    4.67 (G1)    3.00   
   15-18UT       4.67 (G1)    4.33         3.33   
   18-21UT       5.33 (G1)    4.00         3.00   
   21-00UT       4.33         4.00         2.67   
      
   Rationale: UP to G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storms are likely on 02 Jun   
   due to effects from a CME that left the Sun on 31 May. G1-G2   
   (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are likely on 03 Jun due to coronal   
   hole influence.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   above S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025   
      
                 Jun 02  Jun 03  Jun 04   
   S1 or greater   99%     75%     60%   
      
   Rationale: S1-S2 (Minor-Moderate) solar radiation storms are likely   
   persist over 02-03 Jun becoming likely on 04 Jun.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025   
      
                 Jun 02        Jun 03        Jun 04   
   R1-R2           65%           65%           65%   
   R3 or greater   15%           15%           15%   
      
   Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a   
   slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 02-04 Jun.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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   SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 18/200 229/426   
      

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