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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 12,879 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    02 Jun 25 00:19:01    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66922300       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0400       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2025 Jun 02 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 8 (NOAA Scale       G4).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025 is 7.67 (NOAA Scale       G4).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 02-Jun 04 2025               Jun 02 Jun 03 Jun 04       00-03UT 7.00 (G3) 4.33 4.00       03-06UT 7.67 (G4) 5.00 (G1) 4.00       06-09UT 6.67 (G3) 4.67 (G1) 3.33       09-12UT 6.33 (G2) 4.67 (G1) 3.00       12-15UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.00       15-18UT 4.67 (G1) 4.33 3.33       18-21UT 5.33 (G1) 4.00 3.00       21-00UT 4.33 4.00 2.67              Rationale: UP to G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storms are likely on 02 Jun       due to effects from a CME that left the Sun on 31 May. G1-G2       (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are likely on 03 Jun due to coronal       hole influence.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       above S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025               Jun 02 Jun 03 Jun 04       S1 or greater 99% 75% 60%              Rationale: S1-S2 (Minor-Moderate) solar radiation storms are likely       persist over 02-03 Jun becoming likely on 04 Jun.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025               Jun 02 Jun 03 Jun 04       R1-R2 65% 65% 65%       R3 or greater 15% 15% 15%              Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a       slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 02-04 Jun.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 114 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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