MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6691788f   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 May 12 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 12-May 14 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown May 12-May 14 2025   
      
                May 12       May 13       May 14   
   00-03UT       4.00         2.67         2.33   
   03-06UT       4.67 (G1)    3.67         2.67   
   06-09UT       3.33         2.67         2.33   
   09-12UT       3.00         2.67         2.33   
   12-15UT       2.67         1.67         2.67   
   15-18UT       3.67         1.67         2.33   
   18-21UT       2.67         3.00         2.33   
   21-00UT       2.67         2.67         2.00   
      
   Rationale: An isolated period of G1 (Minor) conditions are expected on   
   12 May as negative polarity CH HSS influences linger yet diminish.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 12-May 14 2025   
      
                 May 12  May 13  May 14   
   S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24   
   hours. The largest was at May 12 2025 0001 UTC.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for May 12-May 14 2025   
      
                 May 12        May 13        May 14   
   R1-R2            1%            1%            1%   
   R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%   
      
   Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected.  No   
   significant active region flare activity is forecast.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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