MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66914831   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 May 06 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 06-May 08 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown May 06-May 08 2025   
      
                May 06       May 07       May 08   
   00-03UT       5.00 (G1)    3.67         2.67   
   03-06UT       4.33         4.00         2.33   
   06-09UT       3.67         3.00         2.67   
   09-12UT       3.00         2.33         2.33   
   12-15UT       2.67         2.67         2.00   
   15-18UT       2.33         2.00         2.00   
   18-21UT       2.67         3.00         2.33   
   21-00UT       3.00         2.33         2.67   
      
   Rationale: The geomagnetic field is expected to reach G1 (Minor) storm   
   levels on 06 May, and active levels on 07 May, due to sustained negative   
   polarity CH HSS influences.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 06-May 08 2025   
      
                 May 06  May 07  May 08   
   S1 or greater    5%      5%      5%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for May 06-May 08 2025   
      
                 May 06        May 07        May 08   
   R1-R2           45%           45%           45%   
   R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%   
      
   Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for   
   M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flare activity through 08 May.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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