MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66912ff7   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 May 03 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 03-May 05 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown May 03-May 05 2025   
      
                May 03       May 04       May 05   
   00-03UT       5.00 (G1)    3.67         3.67   
   03-06UT       5.00 (G1)    3.67         3.67   
   06-09UT       3.67         2.67         4.00   
   09-12UT       3.67         2.67         3.67   
   12-15UT       3.33         2.67         3.00   
   15-18UT       3.00         2.67         2.67   
   18-21UT       3.00         2.33         2.33   
   21-00UT       2.33         3.00         2.67   
      
   Rationale: Isolated G1 (Minor) intervals are expected early on 03 May   
   due to negative polarity CH HSS effects.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 03-May 05 2025   
      
                 May 03  May 04  May 05   
   S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for May 03-May 05 2025   
      
                 May 03        May 04        May 05   
   R1-R2           35%           35%           35%   
   R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%   
      
   Rationale:  There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts   
   through 05 May.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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