MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66911782   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Apr 30 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 30-May 02 2025 is 3.67 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 30-May 02 2025   
      
                Apr 30       May 01       May 02   
   00-03UT       1.67         1.33         3.00   
   03-06UT       1.33         1.33         3.67   
   06-09UT       1.33         1.33         2.67   
   09-12UT       1.33         1.33         2.67   
   12-15UT       1.33         1.67         1.67   
   15-18UT       1.33         1.33         2.33   
   18-21UT       1.67         1.67         2.33   
   21-00UT       1.67         1.67         2.67   
      
   Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No   
   significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 30-May 02 2025   
      
                 Apr 30  May 01  May 02   
   S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24   
   hours. The largest was at Apr 29 2025 0513 UTC.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 30-May 02 2025   
      
                 Apr 30        May 01        May 02   
   R1-R2           50%           50%           50%   
   R3 or greater   10%           10%           10%   
      
   Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for   
   M-class flares (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate), and a slight chance for X-class   
   flares (R3-Strong) through 02 May.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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