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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 12,847 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    18 Apr 25 00:19:02    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6690b5bc       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0400       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2025 Apr 18 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA       Scale levels).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Apr 18-Apr 20 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA       Scale levels).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Apr 18-Apr 20 2025               Apr 18 Apr 19 Apr 20       00-03UT 2.67 2.67 2.33       03-06UT 3.00 2.00 3.00       06-09UT 4.00 2.67 2.33       09-12UT 3.00 2.33 1.67       12-15UT 2.33 2.33 1.33       15-18UT 1.67 2.33 1.00       18-21UT 1.67 2.33 1.67       21-00UT 2.33 2.33 2.00              Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No       significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Apr 18-Apr 20 2025               Apr 18 Apr 19 Apr 20       S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%              Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.       No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm       production is forecast.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Apr 18-Apr 20 2025               Apr 18 Apr 19 Apr 20       R1-R2 55% 55% 55%       R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%              Rationale: Isolated R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely       through 20 Apr.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 114 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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