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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 12,839 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    31 Mar 25 00:19:02    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 669009a9       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0400       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2025 Mar 31 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA       Scale levels).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 31-Apr 02 2025 is 3.00 (below NOAA       Scale levels).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 31-Apr 02 2025               Mar 31 Apr 01 Apr 02       00-03UT 2.33 2.33 2.67       03-06UT 2.00 3.00 2.67       06-09UT 2.00 3.00 2.00       09-12UT 2.00 2.33 2.00       12-15UT 2.00 2.00 1.67       15-18UT 2.00 2.00 1.67       18-21UT 2.33 2.33 2.00       21-00UT 2.67 2.00 2.33              Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 31-Apr 02 2025               Mar 31 Apr 01 Apr 02       S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%              Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.       No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm       production is forecast.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24       hours. The largest was at Mar 30 2025 1642 UTC.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 31-Apr 02 2025               Mar 31 Apr 01 Apr 02       R1-R2 55% 50% 50%       R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%              Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely on 31 Mar,       with a chance for up to R2 events persists through 02 Apr. A slight       chance for R3 (Strong) events exists for 31 Mar - 02 Apr.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 114 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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