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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 12,838 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    28 Mar 25 00:19:02    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 668ff075       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0400       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2025 Mar 28 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale       G1).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 28-Mar 30 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA       Scale levels).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 28-Mar 30 2025               Mar 28 Mar 29 Mar 30       00-03UT 3.67 3.33 3.00       03-06UT 4.00 2.00 2.67       06-09UT 4.67 2.00 2.00       09-12UT 3.67 3.00 2.00       12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.00       15-18UT 3.67 3.33 1.33       18-21UT 4.00 3.33 1.33       21-00UT 4.00 3.33 2.33              Rationale: The geomagnetic field is expected to observe periods of G1       (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 28 Mar due to CH HSS influence.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 28-Mar 30 2025               Mar 28 Mar 29 Mar 30       S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%              Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.       No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm       production is forecast.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24       hours. The largest was at Mar 27 2025 0037 UTC.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 28-Mar 30 2025               Mar 28 Mar 29 Mar 30       R1-R2 25% 25% 25%       R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%              Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio       blackouts over 28-30 Mar.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 114 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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