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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 12,837 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   25 Mar 25 00:19:02   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 668fd805   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Mar 25 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 25-Mar 27 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale   
   G2).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 25-Mar 27 2025   
      
                Mar 25       Mar 26       Mar 27   
   00-03UT       3.00         4.67 (G1)    3.67   
   03-06UT       2.67         3.67         3.67   
   06-09UT       2.67         3.33         3.33   
   09-12UT       3.00         3.33         2.67   
   12-15UT       3.67         2.67         2.33   
   15-18UT       5.00 (G1)    2.67         2.33   
   18-21UT       5.00 (G1)    3.33         2.67   
   21-00UT       5.67 (G2)    3.67         3.33   
      
   Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No   
   significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 25-Mar 27 2025   
      
                 Mar 25  Mar 26  Mar 27   
   S1 or greater    5%      5%      5%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 25-Mar 27 2025   
      
                 Mar 25        Mar 26        Mar 27   
   R1-R2           30%           30%           30%   
   R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%   
      
   Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected.  No   
   significant active region flare activity is forecast.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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   PATH: 18/200 229/426   
      

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