MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 668fbfe9   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Mar 22 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 22-Mar 24 2025 is 5.33 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 22-Mar 24 2025   
      
                Mar 22       Mar 23       Mar 24   
   00-03UT       5.33 (G1)    3.67         2.67   
   03-06UT       5.33 (G1)    3.33         2.00   
   06-09UT       4.00         2.67         2.00   
   09-12UT       2.67         2.67         1.67   
   12-15UT       2.67         2.00         2.00   
   15-18UT       2.33         2.00         2.00   
   18-21UT       2.00         2.33         2.67   
   21-00UT       2.33         2.67         2.33   
      
   Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected early   
   on 22 Mar due to lingering CME effects. No significant transient or   
   recurrent solar wind features are forecast on 23-24 March.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 22-Mar 24 2025   
      
                 Mar 22  Mar 23  Mar 24   
   S1 or greater    5%      5%      5%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24   
   hours. The largest was at Mar 21 2025 1558 UTC.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 22-Mar 24 2025   
      
                 Mar 22        Mar 23        Mar 24   
   R1-R2           25%           25%           25%   
   R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%   
      
   Rationale: A chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due to   
   M-class flares will persist through 24 Mar.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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