MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 668f75ca   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Mar 13 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 13-Mar 15 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 13-Mar 15 2025   
      
                Mar 13       Mar 14       Mar 15   
   00-03UT       4.67 (G1)    3.33         3.67   
   03-06UT       4.67 (G1)    3.00         2.67   
   06-09UT       4.00         3.67         2.33   
   09-12UT       4.33         3.33         2.33   
   12-15UT       2.67         3.00         2.33   
   15-18UT       3.33         3.67         2.00   
   18-21UT       4.33         3.33         2.67   
   21-00UT       3.67         3.00         2.67   
      
   Rationale: Due to the continued southward orientation of the IMF,   
   G1-Minor storming conditions are expected to continue.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 13-Mar 15 2025   
      
                 Mar 13  Mar 14  Mar 15   
   S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 13-Mar 15 2025   
      
                 Mar 13        Mar 14        Mar 15   
   R1-R2           40%           40%           40%   
   R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%   
      
   Rationale: There is a chance for M-Class (R1-R2 Minor-Moderate)   
   flaring 13-15 Mar.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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