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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 12,831 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    09 Mar 25 00:19:02    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 668f5570       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0500       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2025 Mar 09 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale       G1).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 09-Mar 11 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale       G1).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 09-Mar 11 2025               Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11       00-03UT 3.33 4.00 3.67       03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 5.00 (G1) 3.67       06-09UT 3.67 4.00 3.33       09-12UT 3.67 3.33 3.33       12-15UT 3.00 3.00 3.33       15-18UT 2.33 3.00 3.33       18-21UT 3.00 3.67 3.67       21-00UT 3.67 4.00 3.33              Rationale: G1 (Minor) conditions are expected on 09-10 Mar due to       influence from a negative polarity coronal hole.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 09-Mar 11 2025               Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11       S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%              Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.       No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm       production is forecast.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 09-Mar 11 2025               Mar 09 Mar 10 Mar 11       R1-R2 30% 30% 30%       R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%              Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts       over 09-11 Mar.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 114 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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