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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 12,831 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   09 Mar 25 00:19:02   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 668f5570   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Mar 09 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 09-Mar 11 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 09-Mar 11 2025   
      
                Mar 09       Mar 10       Mar 11   
   00-03UT       3.33         4.00         3.67   
   03-06UT       4.67 (G1)    5.00 (G1)    3.67   
   06-09UT       3.67         4.00         3.33   
   09-12UT       3.67         3.33         3.33   
   12-15UT       3.00         3.00         3.33   
   15-18UT       2.33         3.00         3.33   
   18-21UT       3.00         3.67         3.67   
   21-00UT       3.67         4.00         3.33   
      
   Rationale: G1 (Minor) conditions are expected on 09-10 Mar due to   
   influence from a negative polarity coronal hole.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 09-Mar 11 2025   
      
                 Mar 09  Mar 10  Mar 11   
   S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 09-Mar 11 2025   
      
                 Mar 09        Mar 10        Mar 11   
   R1-R2           30%           30%           30%   
   R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%   
      
   Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts   
   over 09-11 Mar.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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