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   HAM      Amateur Radio Interest      13,334 messages   

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   Message 12,829 of 13,334   
   Sean Dennis to All   
   3 Day Space Weather Forecast   
   06 Mar 25 00:19:01   
   
   MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 668f3c6e   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0500   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2025 Mar 06 0030 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2025   
      
                Mar 06       Mar 07       Mar 08   
   00-03UT       3.00         1.33         2.00   
   03-06UT       2.67         1.33         1.67   
   06-09UT       2.33         1.67         2.00   
   09-12UT       2.33         1.67         2.33   
   12-15UT       1.67         1.67         2.33   
   15-18UT       2.00         1.33         2.67   
   18-21UT       2.33         1.33         3.00   
   21-00UT       2.33         1.33         4.00   
      
   Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No   
   significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2025   
      
                 Mar 06  Mar 07  Mar 08   
   S1 or greater    5%      5%      5%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24   
   hours. The largest was at Mar 05 2025 1150 UTC.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2025   
      
                 Mar 06        Mar 07        Mar 08   
   R1-R2           45%           45%           45%   
   R3 or greater   10%           10%           10%   
      
   Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts   
   through 08 Mar.   
      
      
      
   --- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)   
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)   
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   SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 18/200 229/426   
      

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