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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 12,829 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3 Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    06 Mar 25 00:19:01    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 668f3c6e       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0500       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)       :Product: 3-Day Forecast       :Issued: 2025 Mar 06 0030 UTC       # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction        Center       #       A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast              The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA       Scale levels).       The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 06-Mar 08 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA       Scale levels).              NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 06-Mar 08 2025               Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08       00-03UT 3.00 1.33 2.00       03-06UT 2.67 1.33 1.67       06-09UT 2.33 1.67 2.00       09-12UT 2.33 1.67 2.33       12-15UT 1.67 1.67 2.33       15-18UT 2.00 1.33 2.67       18-21UT 2.33 1.33 3.00       21-00UT 2.33 1.33 4.00              Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No       significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.              B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast              Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was       below S-scale storm level thresholds.              Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2025               Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08       S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%              Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.       No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm       production is forecast.              C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast              Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24       hours. The largest was at Mar 05 2025 1150 UTC.              Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 06-Mar 08 2025               Mar 06 Mar 07 Mar 08       R1-R2 45% 45% 45%       R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%              Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts       through 08 Mar.                            --- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/305 153/7715 154/110       SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 114 200 206 300 307 312       SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854       SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26       SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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