MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 563030cb   
   PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.0.7.12 (GNU/Linux-x86_64)   
   CHRS: CP437 2   
   TZUTC: -0400   
   TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.0.7.12 (GNU/Linux-x86_64)   
   :Product: 3-Day Forecast   
   :Issued: 2019 May 17 1230 UTC   
   # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction    
   Center   
   #   
   A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA   
   Scale levels).   
   The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 17-May 19 2019 is 5 (NOAA Scale   
   G1).   
      
   NOAA Kp index breakdown May 17-May 19 2019   
      
               May 17     May 18     May 19   
   00-03UT        3          2          2   
   03-06UT        1          3          1   
   06-09UT        1          2          1   
   09-12UT        1          2          1   
   12-15UT        3          1          1   
   15-18UT        3          2          1   
   18-21UT        2          2          2   
   21-00UT        5 (G1)     2          2   
      
   Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely on 17 May due to   
   anticipated CME arrival.   
      
   B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast   
      
   Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-15 over the past 24 hours, was   
   below S-scale storm level thresholds.   
      
   Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 17-May 19 2019   
      
                 May 17  May 18  May 19   
   S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%   
      
   Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.   
   No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm   
   production is forecast.   
      
   C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast   
      
   No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.   
      
   Radio Blackout Forecast for May 17-May 19 2019   
      
                 May 17        May 18        May 19   
   R1-R2            1%            1%            1%   
   R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%   
      
   Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected.  No   
   significant active region flare activity is forecast.   
      
      
      
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