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|    HAM    |    Amateur Radio Interest    |    13,334 messages    |
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|    Message 12,154 of 13,334    |
|    Sean Dennis to All    |
|    3-Day Space Weather Forecast    |
|    17 May 19 12:51:03    |
      MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 563030c4       PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.0.7.12 (GNU/Linux-x86_64)       CHRS: CP437 2       TZUTC: -0400       TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.0.7.12 (GNU/Linux-x86_64)        :Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2019 May 17 1230 UTC # Prepared by the        U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA        Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr        Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest        expected 3 hr Kp for May 17-May 19 2019 is 5 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp        index breakdown May 17-May 19 2019 May 17 May 18 May 19 00-03UT 3 2 2        03-06UT 1 3 1 06-09UT 1 2 1 09-12UT 1 2 1 12-15UT 3 1 1 15-18UT 3 2 1        18-21UT 2 2 2 21-00UT 5 (G1) 2 2 Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic        storming is likely on 17 May due to anticipated CME arrival. B. NOAA Solar        Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed        by NOAA GOES-15 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level        thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 17-May 19 2019 May 17        May 18 May 19 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater        solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity        favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio        Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the        past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for May 17-May 19 2019 May 17 May        18 May 19 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No R1 (Minor)        or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region        flare activity is forecast.                     --- MBSE BBS v1.0.7.12 (GNU/Linux-x86_64)        * Origin: Outpost BBS * Limestone, TN, USA (1:18/200)       SEEN-BY: 1/123 15/2 18/200 226/16 17 229/200 312 354 426 728 1014       SEEN-BY: 240/5832 249/206 317 400 292/854 317/3 322/757 342/200 393/68       PATH: 18/200 229/426           |
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