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   CONSPRCY      How big is your tinfoil hat?      2,445 messages   

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   Message 2,264 of 2,445   
   Mike Powell to All   
   US Threatens tariffs memo   
   21 Jan 26 09:15:46   
   
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   The memory price hike crisis could get even worse, as US threatens 100%   
   tariffs -- this is how it could affect you   
      
   Date:   
   Tue, 20 Jan 2026 18:30:00 +0000   
      
   Description:   
   Consumers in the US now face an additional danger in terms of factors that   
   could seriously hike the price of laptops and PCs.   
      
   FULL STORY   
      
    The RAM crisis just keeps getting worse , and we've started 2026 with a   
   stream of bad news about the price hikes  and the US government is now   
   throwing its weight around, threatening a move that could cause further   
   pricing misery for consumers.    
      
    PC Gamer flagged a report from Bloomberg which quotes some stern words for   
   two of the big memory makers uttered by the US commerce secretary Howard   
   Lutnick.    
      
   Lutnick warned that South Korean and Taiwanese memory chip manufacturers   
   meaning SK Hynix and Samsung (not Micron, the third giant presence in this   
   arena, which is US-based)  could face up to 100% tariffs if they don't invest   
   more in the US to increase their chip production facilities in the country.    
      
   Lutnick said, "Everyone who wants to build memory has two choices: They can   
   pay a 100% tariff, or they can build in America. That's industrial policy."    
      
   In other words, if SK Hynix and Samsung continue to manufacture RAM modules   
   outside the US, in Asia, they could face those tariffs. A 100% tariff would   
   effectively mean a 100% import tax on memory chips coming from abroad, which   
   would, of course, be a hefty price to pay.    
      
   The idea, then, is to have these two companies ramp up chip production on US   
   soil to avoid punishing tariffs when selling to this market. Note that what   
   the US government wants is for SK Hynix and Samsung to actually manufacture   
   RAM chips in the US (and not just package up the chips made in Asia, and then   
   shipped over, which is what happens with the manufacturing plants that the    
   two firms have currently in the country).    
      
   Even Micron doesn't produce all that much of its total memory chip production   
   in the US, but it does have some manufacturing happening in the country  and   
   plans to expand that considerably further. Indeed, Lutnick made his    
   statement, as reported by Bloomberg, at the groundbreaking ceremony for a new   
   $100 billion multi-foundry complex that Micron is building in New York (part   
   of a $200 billion drive to build new manufacturing facilities in the US).   
      
   Analysis: how might this affect consumers?   
      
   There are some obvious problems here for US consumers, and possibly for the   
   government, too.    
      
   For starters, if the US did instigate this 100% tariff move, who's to say it   
   would have much effect in forcing the hand of either SK Hynix or Samsung in   
   terms of expanding US manufacturing? To say that RAM is a seller's market   
   right now is possibly the underestimation of the century in the tech world,    
   so it's not like losing US customers is going to hurt these chip makers or   
   deflate the massive profits they're currently enjoying.    
      
   Ultimately, though, it's not memory makers or laptop or PC manufacturers   
   that'll suffer  the real pain will be inflicted on the average US consumer.    
   As noted, the potential measure threatened is effectively a 100% import tax   
   that will just be passed directly on to the buyer of the piece of tech that   
   the memory is inside, as all these cost increases inevitably are.    
      
   We could end up in a situation where there's a forecast 50% price hike coming   
   with RAM in Q1 of 2026 , over the next couple of months, on top of the    
   already miserably large increases witnessed in the final quarter of 2025. And   
   then, on top of that, US consumers will have to pay more if what's    
   effectively a 100% import tax on memory comes into force, meaning an increase   
   on top of an increase on top of an increase.    
      
    More expensive storage , and much more expensive RAM, are going to push up   
   the price of laptops and desktop PCs alike  GPUs are hit in this regard , too   
   (as they have video RAM, which is also now in shorter supply, and therefore   
   more expensive).    
      
   It's tricky to gauge how this might play out, and it'll vary a good deal from   
   model to model, but the theorized tariffs might mean laptops get something   
   like 10% pricier due to the extra inflation on the bill for RAM  on top of    
   the already steep rises the memory shortage crisis is already causing.   
   Higher-end laptops, and the likes of Copilot+ (AI) PCs, will be hardest hit,   
   as they demand beefier and faster memory configurations.    
      
   We aren't at the point of the US government implementing these measures   
   they're just threats at the moment. But the administration clearly believes   
   that leveraging tariffs works, so it's hardly inconceivable that Lutnick    
   could follow through and enforce such measures  assuming some kind of deal   
   can't be struck regarding investment in the US with the memory chip makers   
   outside of Micron.    
      
   ======================================================================   
   Link to news story:   
   https://www.techradar.com/computing/memory/the-memory-price-hike-crisis-could-   
   get-even-worse-as-us-threatens-100-percent-tariffs-this-is-how-it-could-affect   
   -you   
      
   $$   
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