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|    CONSPRCY    |    How big is your tinfoil hat?    |    2,445 messages    |
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|    Message 2,210 of 2,445    |
|    Mike Powell to All    |
|    AI explosion isn't just h    |
|    14 Jan 26 09:57:01    |
      TZUTC: -0500       MSGID: 1968.consprcy@1:2320/105 2dccec6d       PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0       TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0       BBSID: CAPCITY2       CHRS: ASCII 1       FORMAT: flowed       The AI explosion isn't just hurting the prices of computers and consoles        it's coming for TVs and audio tech too              Date:       Tue, 13 Jan 2026 17:01:47 +0000              Description:       Price rises could be coming for all AV tech, and budget sets may get hit       hardest              FULL STORY              What do the best DACs , the best Hi-Res Audio players , the best TVs , and        the best soundbars all have in common? They're all facing component shortages       and price hikes not because of tariffs, but because of the AI-driven        shortage of memory and storage chips. And the pain's going to be particularly       pronounced at the more affordable end of the market, where profit margins are       already razor-thin.               As you're no doubt aware, the AI industry is buying a lot of memory for its       data centers: as Reuters reported back in October, just one AI firm, OpenAI,       intends to order 900,000 semiconductor wafers in 2029. That's around 40% of       the world's entire production. And there's plenty more demand in the        industry.               As The Wall Street Journal reported this week, "The rapid build-out of       infrastructure for artificial intelligence is consuming a large portion of       available supply of NAND flash memory, DRAM memory and hard drives. That has       resulted in a shortage of memory for other markets such as PCs and       smartphones."               Audiovisual devices aren't the same as PCs, and don't typically need as much       memory as smartphones. But they still need some memory in order to do what       they do. Everything from smart speakers to smart TVs to in-car entertainment       systems use RAM alongside their processors, and some of them use NAND storage       too, because they're all just small computers at heart; both of these       components' prices are rocketing .               We've already seen Samsung warn that its TVs' prices may rise due to       comopnents shortages , while there are warnings about smartphone makers       scaling back their specs for this year's mobile phones , cutting their memory       to cut the cost of manufacturing.               And according to NPR , memory prices are expected to rise even more this        year. As Avril Wu of the consultancy Trendforce told NPR, "I keep telling       everybody that if you want a device, you buy it now."              How AI could affect AV               AI data centers don't use the same memory chips as a DAC or a Hi-Res Audio       player: they use High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), not the DDR RAM you'd find in a       PC or PlayStation. But those differing chips are made from the same kind of       semiconductor wafers, and those wafers are in ever-increasing demand because       HBM uses roughly three times more of those wafers than DDR5 RAM does.               They're also much more profitable to sell, and as a result many firms are       shifting focus from consumer memory chips to data center ones so for example       Micron, one of the big three memory makers alongside SK Hynix and Samsung       Electronics, has shut down its long-standing consumer memory business,        Crucial , "to improve supply and support for our larger, strategic customers       in faster-growing segments". In other words, AI.               As some manufacturers shift focus, new capacity for other kinds of memory       isn't coming on board fast enough to cover the demand. So for example in       October SK Hynix announced that it "has already secured full customer demand       for its entire DRAM and NAND production for next year", and that it'll need        to expand its production to cope with the market demands but even the       equipment to make the chips are set to rise in price .               In the shorter term, that means higher memory prices. Much higher prices.        CNBC reports that RAM prices are expected to rise "more than 50% this quarter       compared to the last quarter of 2025." And the Bloomsbury Intelligence and       Security Institute says that "DRAM prices have also surged 171%        year-over-year , outpacing gold, while DDR5 spot prices have quadrupled since       September 2025 . DRAM and NAND prices doubled in a single month".               While capacity is being added to existing production plants and new plants        are being built, that capacity isn't expected to come online until 2027.               That's likely to have two key impacts on the AV hardware market. The first is       that we'll see price increases down the line, especially at the budget end of       the market where manufacturers can't simply swallow the increased cost:       there's a lot less margin on a $300 smart TV than a $3,000 one.               The second is that manufacturers may go back to the drawing board as some       smartphone firms have done, limiting their next products' specifications to       compensate for shortages and price hikes. It may also persuade some firms to       postpone their product plans altogether until market conditions are more       favorable.               We've been here before, of course: I remember the completely fruitless search       for in-stock AV receivers after chip production had shut down during COVID       lockdowns. At least this time we know the component crunch is coming, and can       make purchasing plans accordingly.              ======================================================================       Link to news story:       https://www.techradar.com/audio/portable-media-players/the-ai-explosion-isnt-j       ust-hurting-the-prices-of-computers-and-consoles-its-coming-for-tvs-and-audio-       tech-too              $$       --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux        * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)       SEEN-BY: 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110 218/700       SEEN-BY: 226/30 227/114 229/110 134 206 300 307 317 400 426 428 470       SEEN-BY: 229/664 700 705 266/512 291/111 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45       SEEN-BY: 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26 2320/0 105 304 3634/12 5075/35       PATH: 2320/105 229/426           |
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